Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.050270 0.054535 0.058845 0.063520 0.068440 0.073458 0.078956
2025-07-13 0.043265 0.049463 0.055942 0.063191 0.071052 0.079294 0.088564
2025-07-20 0.038305 0.045893 0.054062 0.063451 0.073887 0.085077 0.097926
2025-07-27 0.034847 0.043540 0.053145 0.064442 0.077265 0.091269 0.107623
2025-08-03 0.032360 0.041991 0.052884 0.065955 0.081058 0.097810 0.117648
2025-08-10 0.028193 0.038139 0.049674 0.063815 0.080460 0.099221 0.121751
2025-08-17 0.025467 0.035777 0.048007 0.063284 0.081558 0.102434 0.127802
2025-08-24 0.023064 0.033621 0.046423 0.062699 0.082462 0.105323 0.133404
2025-08-31 0.022076 0.033157 0.046831 0.064462 0.086119 0.111412 0.142735
2025-09-07 0.020929 0.032396 0.046796 0.065618 0.089003 0.116566 0.150968
2025-09-14 0.019710 0.031452 0.046455 0.066335 0.091306 0.121000 0.158341
2025-09-21 0.018393 0.030285 0.045754 0.066534 0.092922 0.124578 0.164677
2025-09-28 0.017810 0.030121 0.046379 0.068466 0.096771 0.130969 0.174546
2025-10-05 0.016323 0.028601 0.045138 0.067937 0.097492 0.133527 0.179786
2025-10-12 0.015220 0.027558 0.044480 0.068121 0.099084 0.137138 0.186313
2025-10-19 0.014491 0.027013 0.044460 0.069117 0.101696 0.142010 0.194393
2025-10-26 0.014007 0.026799 0.044876 0.070681 0.105040 0.147806 0.203639
2025-11-02 0.012346 0.024680 0.042527 0.068428 0.103346 0.147222 0.204941
2025-11-09 0.011333 0.023503 0.041458 0.067866 0.103826 0.149353 0.209603
2025-11-16 0.010384 0.022362 0.040384 0.067250 0.104195 0.151315 0.214037
2025-11-23 0.010174 0.022422 0.041072 0.069097 0.107863 0.157520 0.223848
2025-11-30 0.009808 0.022196 0.041316 0.070309 0.110676 0.162636 0.232303
2025-12-07 0.009348 0.021778 0.041247 0.071059 0.112858 0.166938 0.239739