Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.045960 0.050009 0.054111 0.058573 0.063281 0.068095 0.073383
2024-10-27 0.039923 0.045922 0.052226 0.059317 0.067043 0.075181 0.084375
2024-11-03 0.034371 0.041670 0.049602 0.058798 0.069105 0.080239 0.093117
2024-11-10 0.030377 0.038671 0.047965 0.059035 0.071748 0.085780 0.102330
2024-11-17 0.027429 0.036530 0.047018 0.059815 0.074825 0.091701 0.111931
2024-11-24 0.026130 0.036158 0.047990 0.062713 0.080280 0.100319 0.124651
2024-12-01 0.022614 0.032779 0.045113 0.060819 0.079930 0.102092 0.129389
2024-12-08 0.020207 0.030574 0.043478 0.060251 0.081015 0.105436 0.135885
2024-12-15 0.018223 0.028741 0.042158 0.059938 0.082300 0.108942 0.142525
2024-12-22 0.017486 0.028495 0.042807 0.062053 0.086550 0.116018 0.153464
2024-12-29 0.016411 0.027694 0.042660 0.063097 0.089430 0.121419 0.162402
2025-01-05 0.015372 0.026857 0.042397 0.063936 0.092016 0.126446 0.170896
2025-01-12 0.013769 0.025130 0.040882 0.063114 0.092511 0.128955 0.176434
2025-01-19 0.012882 0.024389 0.040675 0.064001 0.095199 0.134219 0.185419
2025-01-26 0.011638 0.023012 0.039496 0.063511 0.096047 0.137145 0.191505
2025-02-02 0.010739 0.022097 0.038916 0.063792 0.097879 0.141310 0.199154
2025-02-09 0.010079 0.021507 0.038763 0.064632 0.100435 0.146397 0.207979
2025-02-16 0.010066 0.021977 0.040181 0.067697 0.106014 0.155427 0.221873
2025-02-23 0.008761 0.020169 0.038097 0.065706 0.104679 0.155449 0.224264
2025-03-02 0.007913 0.019071 0.037025 0.065110 0.105202 0.157861 0.229700
2025-03-09 0.007198 0.018147 0.036169 0.064782 0.106059 0.160694 0.235673
2025-03-16 0.007083 0.018315 0.037040 0.067013 0.110503 0.168306 0.247890
2025-03-23 0.006741 0.018027 0.037161 0.068114 0.113360 0.173821 0.257409