Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.054814 0.059423 0.064084 0.069142 0.074470 0.079908 0.085871
2025-04-06 0.047538 0.054227 0.061220 0.069050 0.077546 0.086461 0.096497
2025-04-13 0.043127 0.051457 0.060423 0.070730 0.082193 0.094493 0.108629
2025-04-20 0.038063 0.047445 0.057828 0.070063 0.083980 0.099216 0.117051
2025-04-27 0.034483 0.044746 0.056395 0.070427 0.086705 0.104832 0.126383
2025-05-04 0.032005 0.043078 0.055934 0.071723 0.090352 0.111403 0.136759
2025-05-11 0.030351 0.042222 0.056288 0.073857 0.094894 0.118964 0.148276
2025-05-18 0.026591 0.038502 0.052961 0.071386 0.093827 0.119873 0.151986
2025-05-25 0.024239 0.036372 0.051420 0.070931 0.095041 0.123363 0.158646
2025-06-01 0.022164 0.034446 0.050001 0.070506 0.096192 0.126708 0.165086
2025-06-08 0.021389 0.034176 0.050636 0.072613 0.100431 0.133760 0.175977
2025-06-15 0.020374 0.033503 0.050689 0.073934 0.103668 0.139591 0.185418
2025-06-22 0.019199 0.032572 0.050396 0.074837 0.106447 0.144973 0.194480
2025-06-29 0.017711 0.031103 0.049310 0.074650 0.107808 0.148599 0.201420
2025-07-06 0.017022 0.030741 0.049689 0.076372 0.111611 0.155273 0.212148
2025-07-13 0.015557 0.029137 0.048280 0.075640 0.112194 0.157894 0.217860
2025-07-20 0.014569 0.028182 0.047720 0.076009 0.114178 0.162264 0.225752
2025-07-27 0.013963 0.027775 0.047902 0.077366 0.117450 0.168268 0.235709
2025-08-03 0.013661 0.027824 0.048729 0.079609 0.121907 0.175812 0.247647
2025-08-10 0.012015 0.025597 0.046141 0.077003 0.119813 0.174890 0.248845
2025-08-17 0.011071 0.024457 0.045100 0.076522 0.120535 0.177574 0.254607
2025-08-24 0.010206 0.023389 0.044113 0.076072 0.121265 0.180246 0.260347
2025-08-31 0.010045 0.023530 0.044972 0.078292 0.125669 0.187753 0.272338