Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.037195 0.040479 0.043784 0.047355 0.051098 0.054899 0.059045
2025-11-09 0.031498 0.036309 0.041313 0.046885 0.052891 0.059149 0.066141
2025-11-16 0.027237 0.033121 0.039428 0.046637 0.054595 0.063063 0.072707
2025-11-23 0.024888 0.031714 0.039220 0.047989 0.057857 0.068532 0.080870
2025-11-30 0.022832 0.030398 0.038918 0.049068 0.060683 0.073427 0.088339
2025-12-07 0.020878 0.029005 0.038365 0.049719 0.062911 0.077570 0.094909
2025-12-14 0.018928 0.027443 0.037470 0.049849 0.064440 0.080843 0.100436
2025-12-21 0.017779 0.026752 0.037522 0.051014 0.067105 0.085367 0.107353
2025-12-28 0.015794 0.024865 0.036005 0.050200 0.067362 0.087048 0.110961
2026-01-04 0.014516 0.023788 0.035403 0.050423 0.068789 0.090043 0.116046
2026-01-11 0.013585 0.023096 0.035229 0.051121 0.070746 0.093631 0.121803
2026-01-18 0.012708 0.022412 0.035013 0.051726 0.072561 0.097030 0.127326
2026-01-25 0.010928 0.020384 0.032996 0.050031 0.071558 0.097099 0.128978
2026-02-01 0.009779 0.019169 0.031984 0.049566 0.072033 0.098912 0.132683
2026-02-08 0.008812 0.018147 0.031177 0.049319 0.072747 0.100994 0.136696
2026-02-15 0.008484 0.018063 0.031639 0.050723 0.075536 0.105600 0.143744
2026-02-22 0.008089 0.017846 0.031895 0.051841 0.077957 0.109759 0.150263
2026-03-01 0.007587 0.017422 0.031832 0.052515 0.079800 0.113203 0.155922
2026-03-08 0.006966 0.016755 0.031389 0.052651 0.080932 0.115760 0.160499
2026-03-15 0.006692 0.016646 0.031739 0.053855 0.083443 0.120025 0.167163
2026-03-22 0.005892 0.015571 0.030625 0.053014 0.083264 0.120924 0.169701
2026-03-29 0.005429 0.015047 0.030302 0.053245 0.084471 0.123544 0.174343
2026-04-05 0.005119 0.014773 0.030340 0.053966 0.086316 0.126961 0.179965