Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.044810 0.048843 0.052939 0.057402 0.062121 0.066957 0.072278
2024-12-29 0.038755 0.044680 0.050923 0.057967 0.065664 0.073793 0.083003
2025-01-05 0.034082 0.041361 0.049293 0.058515 0.068878 0.080106 0.093127
2025-01-12 0.029666 0.037824 0.046998 0.057966 0.070607 0.084611 0.101185
2025-01-19 0.026839 0.035781 0.046126 0.058796 0.073716 0.090556 0.110823
2025-01-26 0.023778 0.033154 0.044308 0.058295 0.075106 0.094414 0.118012
2025-02-02 0.021562 0.031342 0.043278 0.058566 0.077275 0.099090 0.126105
2025-02-09 0.020048 0.030264 0.043022 0.059670 0.080364 0.104808 0.135419
2025-02-16 0.019315 0.030116 0.043869 0.062096 0.085045 0.112441 0.147057
2025-02-23 0.016791 0.027383 0.041235 0.059980 0.083988 0.113047 0.150196
2025-03-02 0.015112 0.025668 0.039807 0.059294 0.084623 0.115645 0.155698
2025-03-09 0.013713 0.024236 0.038657 0.058881 0.085534 0.118534 0.161529
2025-03-16 0.013243 0.024145 0.039356 0.060970 0.089752 0.125682 0.172809
2025-03-23 0.012454 0.023521 0.039274 0.061989 0.092584 0.131117 0.182024
2025-03-30 0.011666 0.022836 0.039061 0.062799 0.095131 0.136202 0.190846
2025-04-06 0.010578 0.021597 0.037979 0.062350 0.095964 0.139077 0.196884
2025-04-13 0.009972 0.021081 0.037914 0.063292 0.098649 0.144344 0.205985
2025-04-20 0.009043 0.019954 0.036877 0.062802 0.099353 0.147017 0.211774
2025-04-27 0.008392 0.019242 0.036421 0.063109 0.101122 0.151072 0.219348
2025-05-04 0.007998 0.018944 0.036575 0.064283 0.104081 0.156702 0.228981
2025-05-11 0.007942 0.019244 0.037665 0.066844 0.108995 0.164961 0.242088
2025-05-18 0.006865 0.017588 0.035578 0.064619 0.107142 0.164165 0.243357
2025-05-25 0.006188 0.016615 0.034530 0.063898 0.107369 0.166123 0.248218