Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.047040 0.051234 0.055492 0.060128 0.065029 0.070048 0.075568
2025-03-02 0.038798 0.044756 0.051037 0.058124 0.065871 0.074054 0.083327
2025-03-09 0.033013 0.040158 0.047955 0.057031 0.067242 0.078315 0.091167
2025-03-16 0.030073 0.038315 0.047579 0.058648 0.071399 0.085518 0.102220
2025-03-23 0.027278 0.036313 0.046754 0.059529 0.074561 0.091512 0.111898
2025-03-30 0.024845 0.034481 0.045907 0.060198 0.077336 0.096979 0.120943
2025-04-06 0.022325 0.032303 0.044442 0.059950 0.078887 0.100926 0.128172
2025-04-13 0.020954 0.031431 0.044461 0.061405 0.082408 0.107156 0.138082
2025-04-20 0.018837 0.029417 0.042898 0.060770 0.083281 0.110157 0.144120
2025-04-27 0.017361 0.028131 0.042157 0.061075 0.085238 0.114417 0.151647
2025-05-04 0.016374 0.027426 0.042105 0.062202 0.088186 0.119871 0.160629
2025-05-11 0.015810 0.027263 0.042733 0.064187 0.092212 0.126667 0.171292
2025-05-18 0.013716 0.024790 0.040157 0.061904 0.090768 0.126703 0.173730
2025-05-25 0.012334 0.023255 0.038780 0.061142 0.091231 0.129094 0.179078
2025-06-01 0.011176 0.021970 0.037676 0.060683 0.092043 0.131900 0.184945
2025-06-08 0.010859 0.021969 0.038396 0.062734 0.096196 0.139007 0.196285
2025-06-15 0.010302 0.021541 0.038461 0.063851 0.099095 0.144514 0.205638
2025-06-22 0.009705 0.021000 0.038323 0.064656 0.101562 0.149469 0.214315
2025-06-29 0.008899 0.020044 0.037508 0.064449 0.102620 0.152571 0.220623
2025-07-06 0.008583 0.019904 0.037922 0.066009 0.106107 0.158882 0.231101
2025-07-13 0.007782 0.018843 0.036853 0.065356 0.106497 0.161082 0.236256
2025-07-20 0.007259 0.018241 0.036469 0.065684 0.108236 0.165071 0.243747
2025-07-27 0.006954 0.018016 0.036670 0.066874 0.111187 0.170686 0.253391