Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.038394 0.041780 0.045193 0.048883 0.052755 0.056691 0.060988
2025-10-19 0.033290 0.038319 0.043555 0.049390 0.055687 0.062255 0.069603
2025-10-26 0.029459 0.035677 0.042342 0.049963 0.058382 0.067348 0.077569
2025-11-02 0.024912 0.031782 0.039364 0.048253 0.058291 0.069187 0.081822
2025-11-09 0.021909 0.029321 0.037720 0.047784 0.059364 0.072137 0.087154
2025-11-16 0.019507 0.027330 0.036417 0.047526 0.060525 0.075062 0.092361
2025-11-23 0.018359 0.026719 0.036629 0.048938 0.063532 0.080030 0.099839
2025-11-30 0.017210 0.025999 0.036622 0.050017 0.066095 0.084449 0.106669
2025-12-07 0.016004 0.025104 0.036321 0.050675 0.068106 0.088190 0.112694
2025-12-14 0.014670 0.023943 0.035608 0.050760 0.069378 0.091027 0.117639
2025-12-21 0.013961 0.023552 0.035818 0.051946 0.071948 0.095374 0.124342
2025-12-28 0.012489 0.022024 0.034491 0.051142 0.072040 0.096741 0.127509
2026-01-04 0.011527 0.021165 0.034017 0.051420 0.073489 0.099776 0.132725
2026-01-11 0.010806 0.020599 0.033898 0.052128 0.075457 0.103437 0.138697
2026-01-18 0.010133 0.020056 0.033775 0.052808 0.077378 0.107037 0.144605
2026-01-25 0.008701 0.018269 0.031867 0.051078 0.076201 0.106818 0.145886
2026-02-01 0.007807 0.017237 0.030951 0.050611 0.076590 0.108489 0.149431
2026-02-08 0.007055 0.016368 0.030218 0.050352 0.077217 0.110433 0.153293
2026-02-15 0.006854 0.016388 0.030757 0.051820 0.080082 0.115165 0.160574
2026-02-22 0.006571 0.016249 0.031050 0.052940 0.082492 0.119334 0.167175
2026-03-01 0.006193 0.015915 0.031036 0.053622 0.084320 0.122772 0.172881
2026-03-08 0.005692 0.015327 0.030612 0.053711 0.085350 0.125197 0.177337
2026-03-15 0.005500 0.015280 0.031001 0.054939 0.087892 0.129539 0.184174