Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.034748 0.037999 0.041291 0.044869 0.048641 0.052494 0.056719
2025-09-07 0.030286 0.035125 0.040204 0.045908 0.052110 0.058625 0.065963
2025-09-14 0.026643 0.032605 0.039065 0.046529 0.054857 0.063808 0.074104
2025-09-21 0.023503 0.030255 0.037792 0.046723 0.056915 0.068086 0.081161
2025-09-28 0.021622 0.029103 0.037671 0.048044 0.060102 0.073528 0.089462
2025-10-05 0.018999 0.026823 0.036029 0.047422 0.060913 0.076171 0.094522
2025-10-12 0.017121 0.025268 0.035092 0.047491 0.062413 0.079515 0.100318
2025-10-19 0.015769 0.024240 0.034688 0.048104 0.064481 0.083464 0.106778
2025-10-26 0.014758 0.023559 0.034637 0.049085 0.066942 0.087846 0.113732
2025-11-02 0.012688 0.021317 0.032478 0.047333 0.065987 0.088099 0.115764
2025-11-09 0.011397 0.020028 0.031458 0.046931 0.066620 0.090199 0.119945
2025-11-16 0.010236 0.018827 0.030475 0.046510 0.067173 0.092161 0.123931
2025-11-23 0.009780 0.018633 0.030851 0.047883 0.070038 0.097018 0.131516
2025-11-30 0.009210 0.018226 0.030912 0.048827 0.072358 0.101224 0.138346
2025-12-07 0.008568 0.017662 0.030716 0.049406 0.074198 0.104835 0.144467
2025-12-14 0.007856 0.016930 0.030242 0.049574 0.075485 0.107750 0.149736
2025-12-21 0.007551 0.016824 0.030646 0.050930 0.078320 0.112611 0.157421
2025-12-28 0.006715 0.015774 0.029623 0.050276 0.078480 0.114081 0.160898
2026-01-04 0.006141 0.015118 0.029143 0.050344 0.079572 0.116718 0.165820
2026-01-11 0.005756 0.014755 0.029078 0.050978 0.081409 0.120299 0.171926
2026-01-18 0.005489 0.014581 0.029288 0.051996 0.083760 0.124544 0.178880
2026-01-25 0.004618 0.013207 0.027567 0.050177 0.082219 0.123739 0.179439
2026-02-01 0.004119 0.012488 0.026835 0.049759 0.082563 0.125355 0.183049