Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.049588 0.053925 0.058321 0.063105 0.068155 0.073323 0.079001
2025-05-25 0.041270 0.047488 0.054033 0.061405 0.069453 0.077944 0.087552
2025-06-01 0.035368 0.042843 0.050975 0.060420 0.071021 0.082494 0.095787
2025-06-08 0.032344 0.040953 0.050591 0.062067 0.075245 0.089797 0.106969
2025-06-15 0.029580 0.039032 0.049892 0.063119 0.078615 0.096028 0.116901
2025-06-22 0.027075 0.037151 0.049015 0.063767 0.081365 0.101449 0.125856
2025-06-29 0.024645 0.035135 0.047782 0.063818 0.083275 0.105799 0.133515
2025-07-06 0.023427 0.034505 0.048130 0.065690 0.087291 0.112586 0.144024
2025-07-13 0.021268 0.032499 0.046624 0.065157 0.088298 0.115734 0.150196
2025-07-20 0.019662 0.031094 0.045769 0.065337 0.090102 0.119783 0.157415
2025-07-27 0.018548 0.030261 0.045576 0.066294 0.092822 0.124921 0.165943
2025-08-03 0.017792 0.029859 0.045901 0.067881 0.096315 0.131005 0.175646
2025-08-10 0.015528 0.027217 0.043155 0.065414 0.094650 0.130753 0.177679
2025-08-17 0.014164 0.025779 0.041960 0.064924 0.095470 0.133564 0.183486
2025-08-24 0.012940 0.024459 0.040853 0.064489 0.096314 0.136381 0.189296
2025-08-31 0.012583 0.024431 0.041549 0.066498 0.100373 0.143297 0.200283
2025-09-07 0.012022 0.024043 0.041699 0.067738 0.103410 0.148924 0.209684
2025-09-14 0.011362 0.023449 0.041514 0.068484 0.105775 0.153690 0.218020
2025-09-21 0.010571 0.022586 0.040886 0.068569 0.107224 0.157263 0.224846
2025-09-28 0.010334 0.022625 0.041594 0.070550 0.111258 0.164221 0.236040
2025-10-05 0.009478 0.021551 0.040566 0.069997 0.111794 0.166589 0.241341
2025-10-12 0.008864 0.020852 0.040075 0.070190 0.113337 0.170272 0.248342
2025-10-19 0.008479 0.020531 0.040151 0.071197 0.116003 0.175442 0.257291