Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.041368 0.044967 0.048594 0.052518 0.056637 0.060826 0.065402
2025-09-28 0.036672 0.042066 0.047680 0.053935 0.060686 0.067729 0.075610
2025-10-05 0.031571 0.038129 0.045163 0.053214 0.062117 0.071611 0.082449
2025-10-12 0.028161 0.035648 0.043899 0.053563 0.064475 0.076322 0.090066
2025-10-19 0.025626 0.033875 0.043190 0.054327 0.067127 0.081237 0.097827
2025-10-26 0.023449 0.032299 0.042525 0.054983 0.069531 0.085782 0.105112
2025-11-02 0.020268 0.029267 0.039937 0.053207 0.068972 0.086833 0.108334
2025-11-09 0.018158 0.027376 0.038562 0.052727 0.069805 0.089385 0.113194
2025-11-16 0.016408 0.025800 0.037452 0.052462 0.070804 0.092063 0.118147
2025-11-23 0.015663 0.025459 0.037828 0.053967 0.073892 0.097173 0.125927
2025-11-30 0.014859 0.024976 0.037971 0.055145 0.076558 0.101769 0.133104
2025-12-07 0.013923 0.024241 0.037737 0.055804 0.078557 0.105552 0.139313
2025-12-14 0.012841 0.023262 0.037168 0.056049 0.080082 0.108829 0.145019
2025-12-21 0.012256 0.022950 0.037458 0.057383 0.082964 0.113761 0.152732
2025-12-28 0.010946 0.021491 0.036132 0.056562 0.083097 0.115324 0.156386
2026-01-04 0.010141 0.020725 0.035709 0.056888 0.084658 0.118618 0.162127
2026-01-11 0.009548 0.020240 0.035642 0.057663 0.086772 0.122587 0.168687
2026-01-18 0.008970 0.019735 0.035516 0.058334 0.088741 0.126370 0.175025
2026-01-25 0.007710 0.018028 0.033586 0.056485 0.087382 0.125962 0.176192
2026-02-01 0.006932 0.017054 0.032670 0.055984 0.087750 0.127691 0.179970
2026-02-08 0.006278 0.016234 0.031941 0.055707 0.088386 0.129741 0.184136
2026-02-15 0.006118 0.016282 0.032518 0.057270 0.091475 0.134915 0.192205
2026-02-22 0.005889 0.016183 0.032860 0.058492 0.094110 0.139517 0.199573