Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.030445 0.033219 0.035997 0.038980 0.042089 0.045228 0.048631
2026-04-12 0.025906 0.030034 0.034290 0.038985 0.043998 0.049171 0.054894
2026-04-19 0.021315 0.026277 0.031546 0.037503 0.044005 0.050843 0.058536
2026-04-26 0.018270 0.023864 0.029964 0.037014 0.044852 0.053222 0.062765
2026-05-03 0.015929 0.022000 0.028790 0.036793 0.045833 0.055615 0.066891
2026-05-10 0.014707 0.021290 0.028807 0.037806 0.048099 0.059345 0.072415
2026-05-17 0.013554 0.020550 0.028698 0.038595 0.050044 0.062664 0.077437
2026-05-24 0.012355 0.019650 0.028320 0.039003 0.051496 0.065381 0.081744
2026-05-31 0.011204 0.018718 0.027831 0.039220 0.052676 0.067748 0.085620
2026-06-07 0.010486 0.018279 0.027897 0.040054 0.054538 0.070864 0.090315
2026-06-14 0.009151 0.016935 0.026773 0.039401 0.054612 0.071894 0.092614
2026-06-21 0.008272 0.016139 0.026286 0.039478 0.055512 0.073846 0.095935
2026-06-28 0.007624 0.015639 0.026175 0.040033 0.057009 0.076529 0.100147
2026-07-05 0.006923 0.015014 0.025871 0.040327 0.058181 0.078829 0.103920
2026-07-12 0.005665 0.013462 0.024276 0.038945 0.057287 0.078680 0.104841
2026-07-19 0.004865 0.012527 0.023454 0.038503 0.057503 0.079811 0.107223
2026-07-26 0.004223 0.011778 0.022844 0.038302 0.057991 0.081245 0.109942
2026-08-02 0.004013 0.011727 0.023199 0.039348 0.060017 0.084504 0.114794
2026-08-09 0.003753 0.011565 0.023382 0.040159 0.061743 0.087401 0.119217
2026-08-16 0.003406 0.011217 0.023279 0.040578 0.062969 0.089692 0.122922
2026-08-23 0.003037 0.010790 0.023040 0.040800 0.063936 0.091663 0.126244
2026-08-30 0.002853 0.010692 0.023276 0.041652 0.065693 0.094583 0.130684
2026-09-06 0.002337 0.009879 0.022407 0.040986 0.065507 0.095139 0.132314