Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.036963 0.040392 0.043868 0.047649 0.051640 0.055720 0.060201
2025-08-10 0.029771 0.034608 0.039705 0.045449 0.051718 0.058327 0.065798
2025-08-17 0.025285 0.031095 0.037431 0.044793 0.053056 0.061987 0.072314
2025-08-24 0.021788 0.028254 0.035532 0.044226 0.054222 0.065258 0.078263
2025-08-31 0.020022 0.027169 0.035432 0.045526 0.057360 0.070642 0.086523
2025-09-07 0.018357 0.026014 0.035093 0.046414 0.059921 0.075304 0.093934
2025-09-14 0.016786 0.024814 0.034567 0.046965 0.061997 0.079347 0.100598
2025-09-21 0.015239 0.023502 0.033783 0.047099 0.063495 0.082655 0.106371
2025-09-28 0.014417 0.023048 0.034003 0.048415 0.066379 0.087583 0.114048
2025-10-05 0.012874 0.021509 0.032740 0.047786 0.066815 0.089535 0.118163
2025-10-12 0.011782 0.020498 0.032085 0.047863 0.068071 0.092438 0.123392
2025-10-19 0.011011 0.019875 0.031894 0.048492 0.069988 0.096129 0.129566
2025-10-26 0.010443 0.019527 0.032074 0.049635 0.072609 0.100763 0.137001
2025-11-02 0.008939 0.017677 0.030104 0.047854 0.071432 0.100662 0.138636
2025-11-09 0.008006 0.016615 0.029167 0.047401 0.071926 0.102615 0.142780
2025-11-16 0.007153 0.015607 0.028246 0.046918 0.072340 0.104442 0.146754
2025-11-23 0.006898 0.015548 0.028693 0.048321 0.075248 0.109443 0.154712
2025-11-30 0.006541 0.015291 0.028825 0.049268 0.077548 0.113675 0.161725
2025-12-07 0.006121 0.014887 0.028712 0.049853 0.079350 0.117270 0.167949
2025-12-14 0.005629 0.014316 0.028310 0.049998 0.080543 0.120072 0.173174
2025-12-21 0.005453 0.014300 0.028758 0.051369 0.083410 0.125058 0.181196
2025-12-28 0.004852 0.013442 0.027843 0.050717 0.083475 0.126376 0.184534
2026-01-04 0.004452 0.012926 0.027443 0.050797 0.084535 0.128989 0.189529