Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.047818 0.052015 0.056268 0.060893 0.065774 0.070766 0.076249
2025-06-15 0.041541 0.047719 0.054206 0.061500 0.069445 0.077811 0.087260
2025-06-22 0.036679 0.044246 0.052445 0.061930 0.072538 0.083978 0.097187
2025-06-29 0.032548 0.041083 0.050602 0.061895 0.074820 0.089044 0.105775
2025-07-06 0.030261 0.039730 0.050554 0.063673 0.078972 0.096088 0.116521
2025-07-13 0.027092 0.037040 0.048699 0.063132 0.080277 0.099765 0.123357
2025-07-20 0.024752 0.035135 0.047586 0.063295 0.082263 0.104121 0.130903
2025-07-27 0.023110 0.033944 0.047209 0.064228 0.085073 0.109381 0.139471
2025-08-03 0.021945 0.033256 0.047366 0.065742 0.088532 0.115384 0.148917
2025-08-10 0.019289 0.030436 0.044676 0.063575 0.087379 0.115782 0.151635
2025-08-17 0.017596 0.028777 0.043364 0.063039 0.088150 0.118432 0.157000
2025-08-24 0.016051 0.027212 0.042078 0.062451 0.088784 0.120862 0.162065
2025-08-31 0.015509 0.027051 0.042675 0.064350 0.092638 0.127363 0.172248
2025-09-07 0.014747 0.026522 0.042742 0.065535 0.095584 0.132765 0.181139
2025-09-14 0.013884 0.025786 0.042479 0.066248 0.097908 0.137396 0.189105
2025-09-21 0.012889 0.024782 0.041786 0.066337 0.099389 0.140952 0.195746
2025-09-28 0.012543 0.024748 0.042447 0.068262 0.103285 0.147587 0.206271
2025-10-05 0.011492 0.023533 0.041355 0.067722 0.103881 0.149997 0.211486
2025-10-12 0.010729 0.022727 0.040811 0.067907 0.105417 0.153598 0.218206
2025-10-19 0.010241 0.022336 0.040852 0.068894 0.108020 0.158575 0.226685
2025-10-26 0.009941 0.022240 0.041322 0.070485 0.111449 0.164642 0.236588
2025-11-02 0.008711 0.020458 0.039152 0.068212 0.109538 0.163693 0.237467
2025-11-09 0.007980 0.019494 0.038193 0.067650 0.109944 0.165759 0.242212