Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-08 59.970952 67.550642 75.350915 83.951922 93.144035 102.649102 113.196051
2026-02-15 45.531274 56.265468 67.920108 81.397107 96.438566 112.604376 131.187388
2026-02-22 37.015812 50.010509 64.841504 82.724405 103.420643 126.362121 153.461238
2026-03-01 29.956777 44.316380 61.530337 83.113364 108.914293 138.284719 173.773359
2026-03-08 23.727030 38.649639 57.463809 81.968593 112.163261 147.371501 190.770966
2026-03-15 19.730330 35.198962 55.620260 83.112938 117.859191 159.174077 210.913685
2026-03-22 17.162542 33.268354 55.414696 86.077392 125.645097 173.435311 234.034160
2026-03-29 14.659438 31.021231 54.478287 87.864270 131.812578 185.677977 254.769038
2026-04-05 12.799642 29.442159 54.237917 90.404144 138.838937 198.946445 276.787993
2026-04-12 10.913105 27.503112 53.250857 91.757463 144.219460 210.123444 296.268403
2026-04-19 8.034784 23.313668 48.504047 87.533223 141.974067 211.493884 303.490303
2026-04-26 5.938630 20.042240 44.769857 84.409616 140.928127 214.186154 312.204307
2026-05-03 4.548050 17.844425 42.550518 83.383372 142.723041 220.621446 325.817932
2026-05-10 3.666048 16.516659 41.633689 84.213315 147.054240 230.388437 343.749322
2026-05-17 3.229752 16.144800 42.323704 87.492324 154.857878 244.801811 367.749696
2026-05-24 2.643952 15.206899 41.897880 88.973930 160.093622 255.835688 387.475983
2026-05-31 1.954495 13.694150 40.237037 88.374389 162.265649 262.745166 401.879438
2026-06-07 1.569017 12.944622 39.935141 89.907211 167.507796 273.795575 421.714008
2026-06-14 1.369305 12.757175 40.712719 93.209217 175.368096 288.442654 446.331732
2026-06-21 1.110992 12.219004 40.716934 95.193089 181.278628 300.461463 467.560030
2026-06-28 0.933685 11.918792 41.174164 97.922804 188.305089 314.034104 490.886739
2026-07-05 0.721220 11.309996 40.905874 99.378785 193.414190 324.991346 510.808246
2026-07-12 0.348400 9.333313 37.357238 94.953695 189.481138 323.354186 513.962359