Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.851382 0.971456 1.102197 1.255101 1.429013 1.620668 1.847919
2025-03-02 0.651185 0.811598 1.001845 1.244037 1.544168 1.903969 2.368299
2025-03-09 0.544435 0.722253 0.946260 1.249025 1.647594 2.154565 2.848978
2025-03-16 0.470387 0.656732 0.903361 1.253426 1.737577 2.383896 3.313247
2025-03-23 0.417035 0.608647 0.873338 1.265331 1.831151 2.618748 3.799855
2025-03-30 0.363439 0.551995 0.822674 1.239109 1.863715 2.766348 4.171922
2025-04-06 0.319733 0.503657 0.777139 1.212813 1.889585 2.901659 4.532789
2025-04-13 0.279735 0.455851 0.726421 1.171640 1.886109 2.989017 4.824136
2025-04-20 0.269506 0.453194 0.744064 1.237246 2.052859 3.349391 5.571191
2025-04-27 0.258612 0.447968 0.756493 1.294616 2.210166 3.706368 6.342528
2025-05-04 0.247330 0.440670 0.764346 1.344259 2.357840 4.058265 7.134187
2025-05-11 0.231816 0.424335 0.755112 1.363185 2.453731 4.329752 7.809855
2025-05-18 0.210012 0.395068 0.721480 1.337332 2.470966 4.471142 8.277113
2025-05-25 0.192716 0.372295 0.697237 1.326009 2.513088 4.659735 8.846531
2025-06-01 0.179657 0.356017 0.683036 1.331328 2.585266 4.906818 9.542963
2025-06-08 0.167834 0.340867 0.669377 1.336016 2.655915 5.155666 10.262617
2025-06-15 0.158108 0.328834 0.660436 1.348699 2.742484 5.440586 11.075146
2025-06-22 0.144715 0.308052 0.632448 1.320765 2.745701 5.563693 11.576156
2025-06-29 0.132639 0.288797 0.605723 1.292751 2.745774 5.679564 12.070736
2025-07-06 0.120170 0.267490 0.572874 1.248887 2.708808 5.716855 12.404299
2025-07-13 0.119411 0.271418 0.592896 1.318780 2.917710 6.275916 13.886681
2025-07-20 0.117737 0.273143 0.608307 1.379897 3.112655 6.820677 15.383387
2025-07-27 0.115344 0.273003 0.619602 1.432781 3.293757 7.349672 16.889083