Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1.900083 2.164600 2.451964 2.787257 3.167689 3.585891 4.080486
2025-10-19 1.526935 1.896243 2.332172 2.884404 3.565197 4.377001 5.418805
2025-10-26 1.276167 1.682505 2.190509 2.871692 3.760934 4.882358 6.404630
2025-11-02 1.103815 1.528798 2.085839 2.868531 3.939456 5.353415 7.363118
2025-11-09 0.954135 1.379599 1.960756 2.811297 4.023654 5.689476 8.153646
2025-11-16 0.860303 1.292800 1.905771 2.836167 4.211692 6.170153 9.172214
2025-11-23 0.786257 1.223953 1.865590 2.872482 4.411596 6.675232 10.259549
2025-11-30 0.711302 1.144266 1.799226 2.859376 4.530927 7.064524 11.198969
2025-12-07 0.638145 1.058833 1.714311 2.806669 4.579893 7.344648 11.985573
2025-12-14 0.571915 0.977166 1.626508 2.738894 4.595032 7.567372 12.691608
2025-12-21 0.521192 0.915607 1.564576 2.705749 4.660207 7.870040 13.545034
2025-12-28 0.511114 0.921571 1.613901 2.861425 5.050686 8.731898 15.395243
2026-01-04 0.470209 0.873644 1.573868 2.871627 5.213773 9.260293 16.785712
2026-01-11 0.445812 0.853455 1.581414 2.968893 5.543720 10.113677 18.843914
2026-01-18 0.408255 0.804473 1.531757 2.955942 5.670893 10.616270 20.311345
2026-01-25 0.376335 0.762458 1.490177 2.952684 5.813496 11.155805 21.891867
2026-02-01 0.341158 0.710098 1.423493 2.893794 5.842672 11.483796 23.095862
2026-02-08 0.319451 0.682304 1.401343 2.919383 6.037570 12.141352 24.996814
2026-02-15 0.301044 0.659249 1.386099 2.956750 6.258238 12.865843 27.093223
2026-02-22 0.279278 0.626714 1.348243 2.943265 6.372344 13.385607 28.815465
2026-03-01 0.255850 0.588055 1.293794 2.889032 6.394971 13.718897 30.175229
2026-03-08 0.233385 0.549133 1.234962 2.819296 6.376990 13.964221 31.366091
2026-03-15 0.215960 0.519814 1.194165 2.785192 6.433155 14.370109 32.939704