Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 2.111974 2.408827 2.732397 3.111291 3.542866 4.019232 4.585087
2025-09-07 1.626584 2.023677 2.495017 3.095849 3.841793 4.738107 5.898085
2025-09-14 1.339522 1.769182 2.309950 3.040764 4.003510 5.229931 6.913696
2025-09-21 1.148826 1.593573 2.180886 3.013603 4.165308 5.704526 7.922819
2025-09-28 0.998017 1.444553 2.059329 2.968051 4.279124 6.105836 8.851837
2025-10-05 0.952024 1.431611 2.117053 3.168828 4.744972 7.024657 10.583895
2025-10-12 0.866015 1.348441 2.061878 3.194618 4.951912 7.581845 11.832482
2025-10-19 0.814746 1.310223 2.066489 3.305818 5.291184 8.357923 13.476155
2025-10-26 0.741021 1.228153 1.993970 3.286619 5.420485 8.815528 14.654314
2025-11-02 0.678826 1.157535 1.931369 3.274508 5.555392 9.287016 15.889055
2025-11-09 0.614983 1.077339 1.844735 3.212420 5.598202 9.606101 16.890124
2025-11-16 0.576459 1.036202 1.818746 3.249139 5.809145 10.219823 18.444473
2025-11-23 0.536118 0.991744 1.789373 3.289003 6.050766 10.945011 20.336579
2025-11-30 0.489697 0.932246 1.729055 3.269970 6.190110 11.512952 22.024043
2025-12-07 0.443630 0.867991 1.652804 3.211904 6.248271 11.933872 23.472911
2025-12-14 0.406789 0.817128 1.595794 3.183204 6.356892 12.455268 25.162158
2025-12-21 0.371754 0.765906 1.532624 3.135082 6.420837 12.893725 26.727375
2025-12-28 0.369080 0.779333 1.596808 3.347187 7.025439 14.448950 30.710147
2026-01-04 0.346912 0.750095 1.572329 3.374432 7.252050 15.262534 33.231537
2026-01-11 0.335407 0.742084 1.590307 3.491907 7.678634 16.525559 36.833970
2026-01-18 0.312220 0.706336 1.546457 3.471624 7.805553 17.166419 39.140357
2026-01-25 0.291769 0.674528 1.507915 3.458830 7.946834 17.849494 41.606831
2026-02-01 0.268941 0.634999 1.448625 3.393239 7.961998 18.254308 43.475334