Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 2.404625 2.772687 3.183788 3.677999 4.257331 4.916519 5.725676
2025-04-06 1.851706 2.338299 2.938327 3.737169 4.779603 6.102954 7.924823
2025-04-13 1.506634 2.018878 2.693015 3.653838 5.002163 6.847755 9.601121
2025-04-20 1.348499 1.897834 2.660967 3.812778 5.532084 8.042889 12.060176
2025-04-27 1.184044 1.735566 2.537052 3.806468 5.803293 8.885768 14.126262
2025-05-04 1.087677 1.654293 2.512245 3.932640 6.278174 10.091741 16.957676
2025-05-11 0.984611 1.546823 2.429446 3.949219 6.570153 11.035258 19.504303
2025-05-18 0.897774 1.452655 2.353061 3.960556 6.846564 11.982480 22.214191
2025-05-25 0.801414 1.330751 2.215068 3.845205 6.878619 12.492168 24.183072
2025-06-01 0.747240 1.273254 2.177974 3.900313 7.223621 13.623518 27.573472
2025-06-08 0.705786 1.232738 2.164770 3.995184 7.653643 14.978733 31.678730
2025-06-15 0.657664 1.174803 2.113089 4.009074 7.923567 16.049326 35.368156
2025-06-22 0.593116 1.086427 2.007385 3.929038 8.044938 16.947258 39.156117
2025-06-29 0.550704 1.036305 1.971174 3.990894 8.493614 18.682243 45.492544
2025-07-06 0.497783 0.958891 1.870682 3.901447 8.591336 19.636846 50.122320
2025-07-13 0.476775 0.942166 1.889773 4.072223 9.313126 22.219469 59.804070
2025-07-20 0.441796 0.892474 1.833666 4.065442 9.611054 23.815054 67.198143
2025-07-27 0.422311 0.872872 1.839013 4.201047 10.285635 26.533808 78.758695
2025-08-03 0.395534 0.834370 1.797843 4.218867 10.661551 28.530242 88.712588
2025-08-10 0.370998 0.798009 1.756952 4.231054 11.025356 30.576830 99.516664
2025-08-17 0.339900 0.743474 1.667618 4.107072 10.992067 31.453829 106.578938
2025-08-24 0.323179 0.720242 1.649514 4.166300 11.492306 34.076113 120.912757
2025-08-31 0.310232 0.704442 1.647428 4.268277 12.139446 37.325038 138.869489