Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.977249 2.271902 2.598920 2.989371 3.443674 3.956545 4.580761
2025-05-04 1.557914 1.957372 2.445067 3.087081 3.914145 4.949268 6.351646
2025-05-11 1.302752 1.737482 2.303371 3.099495 4.199548 5.678883 7.840680
2025-05-18 1.126655 1.576412 2.192916 3.108437 4.448370 6.360745 9.338111
2025-05-25 0.966536 1.407663 2.039131 3.020723 4.529452 6.795439 10.522091
2025-06-01 0.874937 1.321455 1.986379 3.064189 4.797343 7.526661 12.251543
2025-06-08 0.806666 1.259419 1.958413 3.135967 5.110325 8.359666 14.262030
2025-06-15 0.735834 1.183591 1.897733 3.143570 5.313488 9.031937 16.093000
2025-06-22 0.660949 1.091939 1.799747 3.074124 5.371831 9.457179 17.537750
2025-06-29 0.601039 1.018192 1.722394 3.028667 5.462469 9.944738 19.164102
2025-07-06 0.546015 0.946734 1.640704 2.964307 5.507381 10.348494 20.681403
2025-07-13 0.526064 0.934574 1.661232 3.088333 5.920749 11.505392 23.905527
2025-07-20 0.481322 0.877999 1.604521 3.077849 6.108432 12.320526 26.733841
2025-07-27 0.453619 0.851003 1.601774 3.177360 6.545112 13.744092 31.264882
2025-08-03 0.419276 0.806781 1.559798 3.190216 6.799836 14.819614 35.222031
2025-08-10 0.388654 0.766041 1.519269 3.199438 7.046598 15.917945 39.476648
2025-08-17 0.351968 0.708751 1.438070 3.108960 7.052740 16.458216 42.431162
2025-08-24 0.331610 0.682868 1.419076 3.153795 7.381495 17.830509 47.913994
2025-08-31 0.315596 0.664299 1.413328 3.227837 7.792526 19.482405 54.573548
2025-09-07 0.295879 0.635451 1.381526 3.235679 8.039247 20.754449 60.445363
2025-09-14 0.272358 0.595621 1.320473 3.164043 8.069427 21.451719 64.750017
2025-09-21 0.252827 0.562813 1.271945 3.117154 8.158350 22.329485 69.851857
2025-09-28 0.233900 0.529477 1.218551 3.050771 8.183892 23.032327 74.567472