Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.246613 3.810437 4.463231 5.279715 6.280291 7.475054 9.022489
2024-12-29 2.398723 3.095933 4.001743 5.284877 7.088711 9.585112 13.393311
2025-01-05 1.943073 2.660629 3.663370 5.204285 7.581497 11.231191 17.511155
2025-01-12 1.691416 2.429011 3.522854 5.321939 8.327379 13.383781 23.096890
2025-01-19 1.457532 2.172525 3.283768 5.214198 8.657204 14.914530 28.144100
2025-01-26 1.363463 2.109478 3.325183 5.559173 9.826613 18.252223 38.062145
2025-02-02 1.265210 2.021349 3.305340 5.784945 10.823606 21.561888 49.496141
2025-02-09 1.188051 1.955202 3.308768 6.048282 11.956056 25.529158 64.653406
2025-02-16 1.099577 1.855895 3.234942 6.142269 12.750314 28.998288 80.526807
2025-02-23 1.027494 1.775873 3.183513 6.269305 13.650567 33.062571 100.930619
2025-03-02 0.944201 1.664328 3.054374 6.203587 14.072779 36.016363 119.735831
2025-03-09 0.889740 1.600984 3.011862 6.322283 14.993296 40.779535 149.360257
2025-03-16 0.800456 1.469899 2.834289 6.150119 15.261371 44.224936 179.746793
2025-03-23 0.733077 1.376712 2.728523 6.146045 16.063808 50.136724 231.185617
2025-03-30 0.668620 1.280247 2.598846 6.050143 16.566374 55.347863 287.788013
2025-04-06 0.628441 1.229279 2.562643 6.190919 17.876658 64.671542 389.133063
2025-04-13 0.576406 1.145966 2.438222 6.061976 18.252178 70.401237 478.736696
2025-04-20 0.560670 1.140620 2.498603 6.475160 20.731161 88.063202 726.083696
2025-04-27 0.538098 1.116721 2.509333 6.746064 22.827982 106.051603 1055.954182
2025-05-04 0.519152 1.098713 2.532020 7.062511 25.289560 129.075664 1584.764299
2025-05-11 0.492884 1.060034 2.494481 7.175573 26.960501 149.386589 2225.369374
2025-05-18 0.470425 1.027956 2.469880 7.328490 28.921222 174.649023 3222.085301
2025-05-25 0.441507 0.976650 2.384750 7.249369 29.743885 192.591685 4265.425461