Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 2.154266 2.469328 2.816732 3.228598 3.704083 4.236396 4.878392
2025-06-15 1.658344 2.076594 2.581968 3.239306 4.074350 5.103239 6.472565
2025-06-22 1.358865 1.805659 2.379849 3.175235 4.253965 5.673844 7.697404
2025-06-29 1.162046 1.620200 2.239218 3.141968 4.433897 6.229691 8.938785
2025-07-06 1.004531 1.459279 2.100585 3.078137 4.543564 6.679172 10.064777
2025-07-13 0.946823 1.428421 2.134962 3.257004 5.013213 7.688148 12.130863
2025-07-20 0.856909 1.336682 2.065604 3.266139 5.218967 8.313356 13.672547
2025-07-27 0.802727 1.291995 2.060168 3.369550 5.578413 9.212326 15.762154
2025-08-03 0.735142 1.217425 1.997655 3.370027 5.763800 9.840297 17.463852
2025-08-10 0.672376 1.143416 1.927028 3.346434 5.901029 10.395000 19.096957
2025-08-17 0.611725 1.066308 1.842499 3.287642 5.966135 10.824260 20.545609
2025-08-24 0.577546 1.031512 1.826802 3.348269 6.251532 11.679586 22.902980
2025-08-31 0.539513 0.990494 1.803890 3.408822 6.574767 12.703034 25.859682
2025-09-07 0.496883 0.937364 1.755008 3.418506 6.810148 13.606569 28.757329
2025-09-14 0.450154 0.870771 1.672569 3.350790 6.879060 14.181086 31.042218
2025-09-21 0.412831 0.818075 1.610613 3.315588 7.008286 14.894001 33.738951
2025-09-28 0.376414 0.763061 1.537722 3.248055 7.058299 15.441258 36.141629
2025-10-05 0.368900 0.766194 1.583017 3.437307 7.695342 17.369297 42.118837
2025-10-12 0.345324 0.732962 1.548582 3.446974 7.926831 18.404174 46.082917
2025-10-19 0.332347 0.721016 1.558123 3.556403 8.404270 20.081552 51.956585
2025-10-26 0.311744 0.690066 1.522603 3.556908 8.620197 21.154646 56.427911
2025-11-02 0.291127 0.656932 1.478650 3.531941 8.769753 22.082290 60.663689
2025-11-09 0.269802 0.620003 1.422173 3.469727 8.816807 22.753322 64.297678