Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.530493 1.745227 1.978861 2.251894 2.562200 2.903896 3.308733
2025-10-26 1.182451 1.471122 1.812817 2.246957 2.783868 3.426224 4.253476
2025-11-02 0.991929 1.310966 1.711305 2.250264 2.956896 3.852095 5.073227
2025-11-09 0.839091 1.165553 1.595362 2.202204 3.036936 4.145247 5.730104
2025-11-16 0.743138 1.077870 1.537324 2.213377 3.182791 4.523324 6.520143
2025-11-23 0.672685 1.014247 1.500918 2.244011 3.349956 4.935898 7.386088
2025-11-30 0.602920 0.941963 1.441871 2.231503 3.447447 5.250091 8.129622
2025-12-07 0.536674 0.866657 1.368939 2.187719 3.489082 5.478815 8.757175
2025-12-14 0.476323 0.793466 1.290841 2.125958 3.493264 5.645157 9.295086
2025-12-21 0.432273 0.741481 1.240254 2.101373 3.551184 5.895839 9.982742
2025-12-28 0.412901 0.728061 1.250088 2.175306 3.774515 6.427779 11.172798
2026-01-04 0.377314 0.683232 1.203051 2.147915 3.822913 6.671123 11.891994
2026-01-11 0.355703 0.664085 1.203686 2.213379 4.056033 7.279019 13.356443
2026-01-18 0.323991 0.623996 1.164842 2.207179 4.166395 7.692944 14.536708
2026-01-25 0.297639 0.590506 1.133718 2.210479 4.292102 8.142630 15.822318
2026-02-01 0.267996 0.547149 1.079334 2.163259 4.316309 8.405074 16.777654
2026-02-08 0.248715 0.521905 1.056586 2.174236 4.452562 8.889321 18.206098
2026-02-15 0.233521 0.503147 1.044369 2.204333 4.628624 9.465098 19.870069
2026-02-22 0.215504 0.476427 1.013231 2.192044 4.716191 9.871503 21.226293
2026-03-01 0.196444 0.445318 0.969759 2.149028 4.734458 10.136948 22.311490
2026-03-08 0.177821 0.413082 0.920563 2.088350 4.708156 10.305609 23.203559
2026-03-15 0.164094 0.390333 0.889524 2.064195 4.758730 10.641018 24.490302
2026-03-22 0.159044 0.387012 0.901046 2.136832 5.032598 11.485686 26.995197