Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 2.139055 2.445712 2.782099 3.178697 3.633810 4.140107 4.746598
2025-07-27 1.700662 2.122515 2.628223 3.280152 4.099976 5.098985 6.412231
2025-08-03 1.421610 1.883190 2.471030 3.276661 4.355622 5.755814 7.719187
2025-08-10 1.219716 1.695911 2.332964 3.250802 4.545141 6.314026 8.930161
2025-08-17 1.057954 1.533511 2.197244 3.195704 4.668070 6.772667 10.033206
2025-08-24 0.962335 1.448118 2.152489 3.254205 4.945874 7.464489 11.534808
2025-08-31 0.881483 1.372391 2.109345 3.303779 5.206924 8.148197 13.089790
2025-09-07 0.797189 1.280402 2.029240 3.283217 5.350345 8.656854 14.414926
2025-09-14 0.717053 1.185358 1.932778 3.222899 5.417933 9.043368 15.571861
2025-09-21 0.653644 1.110271 1.859575 3.190530 5.523841 9.496553 16.881760
2025-09-28 0.595723 1.038082 1.783216 3.143039 5.595392 9.892671 18.126247
2025-10-05 0.586837 1.049083 1.848385 3.347174 6.128108 11.144333 21.052707
2025-10-12 0.541758 0.995644 1.803055 3.362240 6.345960 11.900172 23.241663
2025-10-19 0.513066 0.969793 1.806041 3.470084 6.756515 13.074606 26.422933
2025-10-26 0.473028 0.917819 1.754396 3.466369 6.948679 13.848526 28.899646
2025-11-02 0.434780 0.864863 1.694740 3.438966 7.088267 14.530869 31.271435
2025-11-09 0.397407 0.809455 1.624133 3.380580 7.155678 15.070492 33.404159
2025-11-16 0.376470 0.785029 1.612584 3.442572 7.482588 16.189519 36.959370
2025-11-23 0.356471 0.760330 1.597658 3.495107 7.794047 17.309598 40.664742
2025-11-30 0.331592 0.722569 1.551287 3.473317 7.936517 18.069716 43.625960
2025-12-07 0.305564 0.679599 1.489302 3.409399 7.974541 18.594746 46.087934
2025-12-14 0.284345 0.645170 1.442570 3.375097 8.077415 19.281749 49.042508
2025-12-21 0.263860 0.610344 1.391460 3.324774 8.135613 19.867539 51.817256