Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 0.944617 1.061659 1.189028 1.338166 1.508304 1.696692 1.921563
2026-03-29 0.756088 0.914253 1.100815 1.338137 1.633453 1.990710 2.458464
2026-04-05 0.660075 0.838704 1.061307 1.361190 1.757804 2.268790 2.984082
2026-04-12 0.576857 0.762102 1.003200 1.343224 1.815602 2.456276 3.404016
2026-04-19 0.510159 0.696465 0.948013 1.316904 1.851521 2.609640 3.786717
2026-04-26 0.454791 0.638848 0.895454 1.284908 1.870869 2.735507 4.137789
2026-05-03 0.414546 0.597647 0.860509 1.272263 1.913639 2.895811 4.555381
2026-05-10 0.385500 0.569398 0.840730 1.278573 1.983345 3.101417 5.066497
2026-05-17 0.355702 0.536964 0.811099 1.265559 2.019336 3.254606 5.506269
2026-05-24 0.330111 0.508549 0.784712 1.254271 2.055424 3.409407 5.964948
2026-05-31 0.303350 0.475952 0.748711 1.223267 2.054109 3.498521 6.313883
2026-06-07 0.284183 0.453949 0.727778 1.215128 2.090485 3.655770 6.806809
2026-06-14 0.276370 0.451517 0.741404 1.272352 2.257553 4.083891 7.916550
2026-06-21 0.258402 0.430821 0.722924 1.272077 2.321836 4.333473 8.721031
2026-06-28 0.245969 0.418372 0.717249 1.293878 2.429375 4.678968 9.780761
2026-07-05 0.228962 0.396333 0.692421 1.276893 2.458588 4.870375 10.535467
2026-07-12 0.212580 0.374024 0.665063 1.252007 2.468490 5.022059 11.223979
2026-07-19 0.197094 0.352099 0.636509 1.221751 2.463438 5.140378 11.852746
2026-07-26 0.185366 0.336242 0.618035 1.209792 2.495442 5.343481 12.722255
2026-08-02 0.176791 0.325677 0.608798 1.215759 2.566793 5.644323 13.891721
2026-08-09 0.166850 0.311708 0.591715 1.203451 2.595751 5.849945 14.848744
2026-08-16 0.157894 0.299003 0.576124 1.192774 2.627070 6.065060 15.870936
2026-08-23 0.147745 0.283200 0.553027 1.163447 2.611365 6.162327 16.580414