Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 2.188845 2.498816 2.837630 3.235569 3.690333 4.194042 4.794620
2025-08-17 1.665680 2.074318 2.561401 3.185302 3.964196 4.905835 6.132825
2025-08-24 1.424045 1.882379 2.462166 3.250500 4.296566 5.640076 7.501919
2025-08-31 1.249324 1.733927 2.377495 3.296451 4.578462 6.308993 8.832058
2025-09-07 1.096338 1.587014 2.266607 3.279001 4.754008 6.832887 10.000614
2025-09-14 0.963328 1.447771 2.144340 3.222039 4.854309 7.245458 11.036098
2025-09-21 0.862441 1.341272 2.053714 3.194766 4.985449 7.703155 12.170783
2025-09-28 0.773082 1.240860 1.959164 3.146973 5.073265 8.094157 13.230229
2025-10-05 0.755378 1.249497 2.031433 3.364559 5.595475 9.205516 15.544492
2025-10-12 0.700867 1.192170 1.991678 3.394006 5.810281 9.836076 17.120917
2025-10-19 0.669974 1.170424 2.006840 3.514266 6.185249 10.761563 19.284873
2025-10-26 0.617240 1.105652 1.942671 3.490189 6.305306 11.257256 20.734457
2025-11-02 0.561809 1.034622 1.867691 3.452069 6.419504 11.794059 22.395413
2025-11-09 0.508791 0.963190 1.786243 3.396341 6.501008 12.290571 24.060784
2025-11-16 0.479249 0.931772 1.773612 3.466024 6.822715 13.261773 26.741884
2025-11-23 0.450116 0.897748 1.752058 3.515069 7.107640 14.188840 29.437007
2025-11-30 0.416093 0.850335 1.699564 3.496443 7.253925 14.855042 31.670573
2025-12-07 0.381110 0.797221 1.630253 3.435641 7.305810 15.332708 33.557275
2025-12-14 0.352957 0.755225 1.579037 3.406531 7.419779 15.947964 35.806504
2025-12-21 0.325512 0.711869 1.520615 3.355517 7.480109 16.453072 37.865028
2025-12-28 0.325494 0.727795 1.588877 3.587769 8.188961 18.441044 43.523750
2026-01-04 0.308285 0.703847 1.568431 3.619202 8.446639 19.448158 47.006218
2026-01-11 0.299936 0.699041 1.589618 3.747576 8.941069 21.044080 52.077704