Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.925908 2.202704 2.506696 2.865569 3.277986 3.737494 4.288864
2025-07-13 1.570094 1.960726 2.429997 3.036427 3.801177 4.735978 5.969129
2025-07-20 1.318143 1.747022 2.294576 3.047259 4.058948 5.377250 7.234600
2025-07-27 1.174661 1.634482 2.251555 3.144037 4.408522 6.145959 8.731831
2025-08-03 1.035333 1.501839 2.155207 3.142417 4.606157 6.711839 9.998812
2025-08-10 0.918873 1.383034 2.058262 3.119047 4.757096 7.212503 11.213381
2025-08-17 0.816088 1.269976 1.953314 3.065468 4.847477 7.620776 12.320470
2025-08-24 0.755066 1.212298 1.923185 3.119291 5.103745 8.303537 13.931459
2025-08-31 0.701673 1.159834 1.893871 3.167927 5.351838 8.992442 15.624005
2025-09-07 0.641964 1.090116 1.828375 3.147317 5.477933 9.485679 17.029298
2025-09-14 0.583183 1.015562 1.746631 3.088604 5.528624 9.849055 18.236865
2025-09-21 0.537897 0.959558 1.690513 3.067645 5.641335 10.328738 19.705195
2025-09-28 0.485378 0.889506 1.609886 3.007252 5.700578 10.763938 21.239869
2025-10-05 0.470982 0.888199 1.654328 3.187404 6.241404 12.181301 24.924354
2025-10-12 0.436060 0.844078 1.613885 3.198772 6.452854 12.982498 27.466079
2025-10-19 0.415729 0.825543 1.619537 3.300547 6.856199 14.213949 31.081910
2025-10-26 0.385968 0.784891 1.577147 3.298842 7.043357 15.018784 33.878916
2025-11-02 0.357021 0.742684 1.526914 3.274266 7.177344 15.724053 36.547760
2025-11-09 0.328080 0.697370 1.465396 3.217921 7.233684 16.263596 38.904360
2025-11-16 0.311985 0.677726 1.455810 3.274523 7.550829 17.428557 42.926389
2025-11-23 0.296740 0.658293 1.444528 3.325671 7.860958 18.614444 47.171913
2025-11-30 0.277121 0.627050 1.403905 3.303996 7.994766 19.395828 50.499744
2025-12-07 0.256361 0.591107 1.349040 3.242251 8.023098 19.922027 53.234435