Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.127213 2.422976 2.744451 3.119771 3.545907 4.014704 4.569599
2025-09-28 1.625072 2.018234 2.482884 3.072339 3.800227 4.669789 5.788028
2025-10-05 1.460413 1.925089 2.506814 3.288179 4.310317 5.602406 7.361161
2025-10-12 1.276162 1.766870 2.411018 3.317881 4.561780 6.208894 8.557965
2025-10-19 1.165932 1.684472 2.393706 3.433714 4.919984 6.968612 10.010528
2025-10-26 1.035325 1.554233 2.290699 3.410946 5.072015 7.445583 11.099908
2025-11-02 0.929783 1.445650 2.202991 3.394259 5.221180 7.919084 12.212350
2025-11-09 0.829725 1.332874 2.095131 3.332060 5.289304 8.269272 13.159057
2025-11-16 0.769395 1.274191 2.061704 3.377285 5.520600 8.878017 14.546755
2025-11-23 0.715625 1.219739 2.028270 3.416511 5.741296 9.481950 15.970076
2025-11-30 0.658560 1.153668 1.968964 3.405843 5.875898 9.952923 17.207779
2025-12-07 0.600157 1.079316 1.888508 3.350703 5.927998 10.286972 18.235579
2025-12-14 0.547230 1.013037 1.821866 3.324204 6.046302 10.775369 19.634148
2025-12-21 0.495270 0.943817 1.744665 3.273737 6.121765 11.204096 20.984271
2025-12-28 0.489598 0.958788 1.818696 3.503592 6.724196 12.617863 24.249285
2026-01-04 0.457307 0.919624 1.788779 3.535222 6.958587 13.378370 26.362647
2026-01-11 0.439595 0.906714 1.806517 3.658573 7.377312 14.515670 29.295171
2026-01-18 0.406309 0.859091 1.752244 3.634327 7.503105 15.100505 31.193663
2026-01-25 0.377050 0.816607 1.703861 3.616557 7.638622 15.712987 33.198446
2026-02-01 0.345778 0.766635 1.635419 3.550321 7.667175 16.111082 34.794357
2026-02-08 0.328222 0.744326 1.622062 3.598482 7.939110 17.027673 37.557701
2026-02-15 0.311479 0.722072 1.606615 3.640253 8.200187 17.941693 40.394155
2026-02-22 0.291656 0.690864 1.568813 3.628893 8.342965 18.613826 42.757575