Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 2.164261 2.484767 2.839406 3.261427 3.750633 4.300682 4.967178
2025-05-25 1.612384 2.022847 2.521341 3.173523 4.007601 5.042977 6.432563
2025-06-01 1.365922 1.819536 2.406392 3.225758 4.347413 5.839456 7.991878
2025-06-08 1.202664 1.681872 2.334565 3.295737 4.687492 6.648320 9.653449
2025-06-15 1.061611 1.547304 2.238506 3.304040 4.923534 7.321968 11.197539
2025-06-22 0.929515 1.404497 2.106878 3.234054 5.022136 7.790150 12.479371
2025-06-29 0.828990 1.294203 2.006527 3.192381 5.148829 8.303588 13.887184
2025-07-06 0.739876 1.189876 1.901104 3.125532 5.219717 8.726009 15.188808
2025-07-13 0.710129 1.176218 1.936505 3.290047 5.690303 9.864334 17.880815
2025-07-20 0.654031 1.112146 1.880795 3.291001 5.874445 10.523561 19.791993
2025-07-27 0.621554 1.084385 1.882659 3.391094 6.244494 11.556269 22.545694
2025-08-03 0.579159 1.034501 1.840029 3.404214 6.452210 12.307624 24.848307
2025-08-10 0.532444 0.977174 1.787254 3.410635 6.684838 13.209641 27.761457
2025-08-17 0.476703 0.898084 1.687668 3.319201 6.722337 13.752038 30.067599
2025-08-24 0.445653 0.861864 1.664194 3.373952 7.063352 14.966868 34.070797
2025-08-31 0.420030 0.833014 1.651164 3.447351 7.452976 16.343536 38.704646
2025-09-07 0.390584 0.792929 1.610511 3.456060 7.700660 17.440894 42.876402
2025-09-14 0.356745 0.739913 1.536901 3.382654 7.750459 18.088085 46.044695
2025-09-21 0.329169 0.697089 1.479950 3.338947 7.862726 18.899974 49.797852
2025-09-28 0.302335 0.652971 1.415249 3.268838 7.900861 19.534663 53.198154
2025-10-05 0.296297 0.654160 1.451103 3.441383 8.566219 21.867049 61.828991
2025-10-12 0.278398 0.626540 1.418300 3.442384 8.793226 23.088067 67.490170
2025-10-19 0.268826 0.617134 1.426735 3.547375 9.309567 25.176548 76.217454