Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 2.049095 2.355022 2.694616 3.100158 3.572104 4.104985 4.753664
2025-05-04 1.613744 2.028322 2.534633 3.201350 4.060481 5.136020 6.593516
2025-05-11 1.349854 1.800741 2.387725 3.213591 4.354782 5.889437 8.131968
2025-05-18 1.167367 1.633663 2.272843 3.221996 4.611004 6.593086 9.678223
2025-05-25 1.001745 1.459157 2.113903 3.131558 4.695402 7.043494 10.903664
2025-06-01 0.907168 1.370315 2.059940 3.177592 4.974307 7.802619 12.696303
2025-06-08 0.836320 1.305862 2.030675 3.251431 5.297466 8.663083 14.772552
2025-06-15 0.762969 1.227365 1.967926 3.259481 5.508047 9.358991 16.665836
2025-06-22 0.685399 1.132457 1.866523 3.187757 5.568790 9.799476 18.159979
2025-06-29 0.623427 1.056248 1.786767 3.141400 5.663980 10.306371 19.845586
2025-07-06 0.566365 0.982148 1.702070 3.074675 5.710399 10.723905 21.413060
2025-07-13 0.547971 0.973799 1.731256 3.218582 6.169401 11.983919 24.882573
2025-07-20 0.502128 0.916278 1.674813 3.212806 6.375158 12.853132 27.868389
2025-07-27 0.473399 0.888400 1.672426 3.317395 6.831673 14.337831 32.584209
2025-08-03 0.437563 0.842202 1.628424 3.330141 7.095180 15.452020 36.681065
2025-08-10 0.405577 0.799582 1.585831 3.338873 7.349764 16.587911 41.079086
2025-08-17 0.367380 0.739947 1.501362 3.244906 7.356600 17.149913 44.143054
2025-08-24 0.346270 0.713204 1.482072 3.292736 7.701303 18.581903 49.843011
2025-08-31 0.329543 0.693779 1.475931 3.369459 8.127806 20.294313 56.731612
2025-09-07 0.309001 0.663740 1.442872 3.377823 8.384861 21.615864 62.812771
2025-09-14 0.284475 0.622219 1.379268 3.303297 8.416425 22.339928 67.267887
2025-09-21 0.264146 0.588108 1.328936 3.255131 8.510759 23.256203 72.563242
2025-09-28 0.244385 0.553301 1.273193 3.185806 8.536835 23.984083 77.434965