Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.879294 2.149381 2.446017 2.796223 3.198701 3.647160 4.185309
2025-07-13 1.530364 1.911102 2.368520 2.959684 3.705265 4.616745 5.819305
2025-07-20 1.284055 1.701789 2.235150 2.968392 3.954073 5.238677 7.048880
2025-07-27 1.143899 1.591598 2.192445 3.061551 4.293096 5.985582 8.505126
2025-08-03 1.008736 1.463167 2.099672 3.061520 4.487903 6.540298 9.744981
2025-08-10 0.895719 1.348085 2.006208 3.040262 4.637351 7.031976 10.935098
2025-08-17 0.795403 1.237668 1.903555 2.987457 4.724562 7.428737 12.012958
2025-08-24 0.735513 1.180760 1.873057 3.038040 4.971279 8.089423 13.575906
2025-08-31 0.683716 1.130001 1.845057 3.086351 5.214617 8.763645 15.231268
2025-09-07 0.625353 1.061739 1.780654 3.065221 5.335655 9.241281 16.596169
2025-09-14 0.567965 0.988877 1.700583 3.007191 5.383507 9.592673 17.768566
2025-09-21 0.522592 0.932013 1.641731 2.978958 5.478574 10.032541 19.146364
2025-09-28 0.471039 0.863068 1.561925 2.917793 5.531980 10.448841 20.628118
2025-10-05 0.456289 0.860420 1.602655 3.088405 6.049573 11.812646 24.186822
2025-10-12 0.422060 0.816988 1.562319 3.097517 6.251597 12.585759 26.650455
2025-10-19 0.402097 0.798559 1.567003 3.194884 6.640902 13.778899 30.163630
2025-10-26 0.373369 0.759430 1.526553 3.194851 6.826720 14.571368 32.912749
2025-11-02 0.345427 0.718783 1.478480 3.172633 6.961096 15.268090 35.541756
2025-11-09 0.317287 0.674680 1.418504 3.117442 7.015231 15.793016 37.842413
2025-11-16 0.301470 0.655165 1.408226 3.170310 7.319059 16.917806 41.745496
2025-11-23 0.286747 0.636445 1.397582 3.220805 7.622982 18.079566 45.909940
2025-11-30 0.267647 0.605947 1.357707 3.198719 7.750857 18.836164 49.150137
2025-12-07 0.247486 0.570982 1.304191 3.138068 7.776875 19.345730 51.815325