Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.988837 1.122585 1.268298 1.438926 1.633376 1.848221 2.103811
2025-12-28 0.797568 0.982905 1.202386 1.481896 1.829051 2.246923 2.789449
2026-01-04 0.663502 0.865161 1.118095 1.459488 1.909657 2.484946 3.279150
2026-01-11 0.591289 0.807412 1.091547 1.493830 2.051134 2.799493 3.886715
2026-01-18 0.526740 0.748350 1.051729 1.499343 2.146510 3.053693 4.431537
2026-01-25 0.467403 0.687756 1.000425 1.478970 2.197692 3.244584 4.899185
2026-02-01 0.414724 0.629895 0.945278 1.444293 2.220134 3.390420 5.308539
2026-02-08 0.370217 0.578917 0.894078 1.408267 2.233659 3.519627 5.699701
2026-02-15 0.343498 0.552159 0.876300 1.420767 2.321749 3.769467 6.304220
2026-02-22 0.316147 0.521427 0.848839 1.413981 2.376192 3.967687 6.839993
2026-03-01 0.289789 0.489633 0.816375 1.395004 2.406998 4.127227 7.322329
2026-03-08 0.260184 0.449594 0.766508 1.341312 2.372159 4.169831 7.599896
2026-03-15 0.236357 0.419549 0.734654 1.322822 2.409943 4.365067 8.218812
2026-03-22 0.223366 0.407719 0.734070 1.361729 2.558968 4.782650 9.317719
2026-03-29 0.203320 0.380790 0.703389 1.341204 2.593776 4.990733 10.036401
2026-04-05 0.192548 0.369840 0.700624 1.372673 2.730991 5.408217 11.223555
2026-04-12 0.179590 0.353267 0.685379 1.377725 2.815731 5.730590 12.253992
2026-04-19 0.165277 0.332515 0.659838 1.359056 2.849383 5.951854 13.095414
2026-04-26 0.151081 0.310535 0.629616 1.327279 2.851496 6.106449 13.808303
2026-05-03 0.138234 0.290040 0.600361 1.294264 2.846852 6.245097 14.501187
2026-05-10 0.130809 0.280194 0.592176 1.305719 2.941086 6.610637 15.767161
2026-05-17 0.122465 0.267544 0.576788 1.299500 2.994430 6.889384 16.860874
2026-05-24 0.113937 0.253662 0.557396 1.282108 3.019782 7.105769 17.828653