Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 2.354020 2.719765 3.130913 3.628736 4.217047 4.892389 5.729566
2025-03-02 1.769242 2.236482 2.817522 3.599173 4.632282 5.963587 7.829396
2025-03-09 1.492373 2.002133 2.680271 3.660397 5.060565 7.019046 10.019623
2025-03-16 1.275222 1.792188 2.517379 3.627275 5.315841 7.842423 12.013198
2025-03-23 1.118572 1.635014 2.392896 3.611400 5.569653 8.679309 14.167464
2025-03-30 0.983659 1.487010 2.254929 3.543621 5.716893 9.355370 16.175702
2025-04-06 0.900897 1.405490 2.203953 3.599548 6.064362 10.407862 19.045980
2025-04-13 0.805584 1.291015 2.083573 3.518390 6.156521 11.019765 21.214743
2025-04-20 0.763704 1.258258 2.092281 3.658522 6.662775 12.472381 25.360448
2025-04-27 0.702806 1.185698 2.023035 3.646197 6.876790 13.393044 28.596613
2025-05-04 0.668967 1.156116 2.025150 3.765554 7.364460 14.950128 33.616735
2025-05-11 0.624923 1.103188 1.978078 3.781846 7.642001 16.109004 37.985174
2025-05-18 0.580314 1.050976 1.938494 3.834125 8.065229 17.814828 44.590149
2025-05-25 0.528694 0.981058 1.859154 3.799515 8.310892 19.220587 51.052780
2025-06-01 0.494136 0.939476 1.829434 3.864728 8.797765 21.334811 60.300132
2025-06-08 0.454373 0.882481 1.760181 3.829520 9.035002 22.871048 68.429363
2025-06-15 0.420922 0.834372 1.703132 3.812650 9.314983 24.599317 77.904097
2025-06-22 0.386901 0.781146 1.628152 3.740626 9.436270 25.914184 86.548618
2025-06-29 0.366233 0.754190 1.607927 3.800055 9.928780 28.474029 100.932924
2025-07-06 0.337608 0.706641 1.534970 3.713817 9.992773 29.724913 110.862923
2025-07-13 0.326790 0.697742 1.550848 3.862728 10.780635 33.576024 133.588610
2025-07-20 0.307071 0.666342 1.509134 3.849630 11.074628 35.842201 150.626019
2025-07-27 0.296808 0.655884 1.517242 3.976495 11.842342 40.060984 179.450306