Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.162304 0.183073 0.204926 0.229580 0.256565 0.285151 0.317665
2025-04-06 0.133492 0.161314 0.192170 0.228743 0.270719 0.317193 0.372338
2025-04-13 0.112671 0.144688 0.181860 0.227815 0.282680 0.345658 0.422960
2025-04-20 0.098454 0.133541 0.175973 0.230389 0.297590 0.377106 0.477487
2025-04-27 0.088838 0.126593 0.173943 0.236650 0.316383 0.413195 0.538325
2025-05-04 0.078929 0.117973 0.168674 0.237889 0.328312 0.440738 0.589188
2025-05-11 0.072076 0.112539 0.166768 0.242829 0.344598 0.473770 0.647505
2025-05-18 0.066812 0.108647 0.166368 0.249349 0.362785 0.509435 0.709914
2025-05-25 0.059672 0.101279 0.160458 0.247722 0.369654 0.530235 0.753364
2025-06-01 0.053844 0.095220 0.155798 0.247281 0.377733 0.552493 0.798960
2025-06-08 0.048625 0.089541 0.151159 0.246378 0.384818 0.573295 0.842844
2025-06-15 0.045573 0.086969 0.150863 0.251584 0.400475 0.605978 0.903358
2025-06-22 0.041318 0.082135 0.146927 0.251369 0.408640 0.629021 0.952079
2025-06-29 0.037459 0.077567 0.143028 0.250884 0.416235 0.651338 1.000265
2025-07-06 0.033954 0.073243 0.139155 0.250110 0.423201 0.672787 1.047620
2025-07-13 0.031506 0.070557 0.137730 0.253010 0.435660 0.702323 1.106995
2025-07-20 0.029977 0.069414 0.138772 0.259831 0.454243 0.741143 1.180442
2025-07-27 0.027668 0.066531 0.136595 0.261204 0.464314 0.767593 1.236522
2025-08-03 0.026185 0.065115 0.136854 0.266552 0.480700 0.803718 1.307370
2025-08-10 0.025064 0.064311 0.138120 0.273589 0.499917 0.844465 1.385774
2025-08-17 0.022810 0.060904 0.134396 0.271843 0.504848 0.863605 1.432493
2025-08-24 0.020930 0.058078 0.131527 0.271371 0.511722 0.885743 1.483999
2025-08-31 0.019158 0.055283 0.128496 0.270400 0.517636 0.906419 1.533592