Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.219367 0.249330 0.281431 0.318327 0.359509 0.404006 0.455666
2025-10-26 0.180644 0.220982 0.267030 0.323294 0.389980 0.466284 0.559979
2025-11-02 0.154656 0.201584 0.258148 0.330928 0.421626 0.530427 0.670273
2025-11-09 0.130762 0.180571 0.243632 0.328611 0.439313 0.577716 0.762799
2025-11-16 0.112658 0.163997 0.231958 0.327427 0.456796 0.624544 0.856771
2025-11-23 0.098025 0.149855 0.221348 0.325666 0.472173 0.668469 0.948744
2025-11-30 0.088821 0.141948 0.218000 0.332808 0.499243 0.728770 1.065475
2025-12-07 0.079111 0.131973 0.210393 0.332677 0.515359 0.774223 1.163691
2025-12-14 0.070907 0.123214 0.203476 0.332505 0.530745 0.818817 1.262456
2025-12-21 0.064030 0.115684 0.197524 0.332926 0.546496 0.864210 1.364190
2025-12-28 0.059130 0.110783 0.195098 0.338346 0.569806 0.921581 1.486140
2026-01-04 0.055429 0.107467 0.194814 0.346930 0.598272 0.987881 1.624536
2026-01-11 0.050803 0.102155 0.190943 0.349654 0.618115 1.042919 1.750220
2026-01-18 0.047543 0.098945 0.190326 0.357700 0.647042 1.113687 1.904171
2026-01-25 0.044865 0.096509 0.190794 0.367534 0.679426 1.191539 2.073202
2026-02-01 0.040803 0.090915 0.185020 0.365789 0.691757 1.237103 2.191934
2026-02-08 0.037299 0.086009 0.180019 0.364918 0.705328 1.285128 2.316708
2026-02-15 0.034063 0.081261 0.174846 0.363212 0.717098 1.330425 2.438732
2026-02-22 0.032244 0.079298 0.174869 0.371219 0.746759 1.407651 2.618277
2026-03-01 0.029730 0.075513 0.170899 0.371146 0.761376 1.459168 2.755614
2026-03-08 0.027447 0.071970 0.167077 0.370995 0.775684 1.510613 2.894864
2026-03-15 0.025433 0.068802 0.163731 0.371480 0.791100 1.564583 3.040717
2026-03-22 0.024062 0.067001 0.163122 0.377472 0.817447 1.639527 3.227223