Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.194600 0.219478 0.245753 0.275514 0.308230 0.343039 0.382818
2025-06-15 0.164598 0.198690 0.236700 0.282021 0.334379 0.392752 0.462531
2025-06-22 0.139627 0.178954 0.224922 0.282195 0.351181 0.431118 0.530237
2025-06-29 0.120343 0.162884 0.214773 0.281991 0.365958 0.466537 0.595184
2025-07-06 0.104994 0.149473 0.205887 0.281587 0.379271 0.499746 0.658061
2025-07-13 0.094163 0.140398 0.201156 0.285298 0.397038 0.538410 0.728579
2025-07-20 0.086577 0.134666 0.199928 0.292901 0.419550 0.583416 0.808373
2025-07-27 0.078272 0.126925 0.195062 0.294818 0.434055 0.618070 0.875563
2025-08-03 0.072645 0.122382 0.194060 0.301613 0.455026 0.661614 0.955585
2025-08-10 0.067930 0.118658 0.193762 0.309073 0.476884 0.706786 1.038977
2025-08-17 0.061371 0.111386 0.187560 0.307337 0.485292 0.733428 1.097588
2025-08-24 0.055964 0.105381 0.182706 0.307070 0.495463 0.762497 1.160078
2025-08-31 0.050719 0.099261 0.177385 0.305992 0.504715 0.791122 1.223792
2025-09-07 0.047642 0.096510 0.177145 0.312629 0.525633 0.837085 1.313519
2025-09-14 0.043552 0.091554 0.172897 0.312564 0.536168 0.868081 1.382459
2025-09-21 0.039834 0.086871 0.168700 0.312202 0.546028 0.898185 1.450775
2025-09-28 0.036467 0.082481 0.164626 0.311686 0.555433 0.927694 1.518844
2025-10-05 0.034136 0.079831 0.163351 0.315683 0.572063 0.968522 1.604804
2025-10-12 0.032630 0.078655 0.164579 0.323931 0.595796 1.020856 1.709431
2025-10-19 0.030377 0.075718 0.162364 0.326004 0.609333 1.057614 1.791126
2025-10-26 0.029004 0.074477 0.163178 0.333387 0.631894 1.109072 1.896651
2025-11-02 0.027813 0.073501 0.164397 0.341492 0.655884 1.163369 2.007824
2025-11-09 0.025540 0.069894 0.160272 0.339603 0.662631 1.190124 2.076384