Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.178974 0.201704 0.225637 0.252662 0.282273 0.313672 0.349429
2025-05-04 0.148856 0.179583 0.213694 0.254178 0.300714 0.352329 0.413692
2025-05-11 0.129121 0.165233 0.207177 0.259079 0.321136 0.392498 0.480282
2025-05-18 0.115219 0.155418 0.204012 0.266362 0.343458 0.434849 0.550488
2025-05-25 0.100125 0.142074 0.194750 0.264670 0.353847 0.462520 0.603559
2025-06-01 0.088293 0.131366 0.187395 0.264105 0.364709 0.490357 0.657104
2025-06-08 0.078328 0.121926 0.180557 0.263181 0.374356 0.516340 0.708591
2025-06-15 0.072134 0.116944 0.179024 0.268758 0.392228 0.552980 0.774409
2025-06-22 0.065083 0.109941 0.173967 0.268873 0.402351 0.579413 0.827373
2025-06-29 0.058866 0.103501 0.169066 0.268618 0.411556 0.604514 0.878921
2025-07-06 0.053414 0.097654 0.164475 0.268294 0.420309 0.628924 0.929881
2025-07-13 0.049411 0.093686 0.162305 0.271187 0.433474 0.659508 0.989806
2025-07-20 0.046598 0.091539 0.162943 0.278550 0.453789 0.701288 1.067319
2025-07-27 0.042783 0.087315 0.159981 0.280167 0.465600 0.731334 1.129256
2025-08-03 0.040095 0.084773 0.159480 0.285459 0.482958 0.769690 1.203840
2025-08-10 0.038141 0.083339 0.160641 0.293333 0.504396 0.814447 1.288607
2025-08-17 0.034627 0.078658 0.155989 0.291498 0.510678 0.837021 1.341798
2025-08-24 0.031669 0.074715 0.152272 0.290884 0.518670 0.862158 1.399142
2025-08-31 0.028940 0.070917 0.148500 0.289883 0.525853 0.886102 1.455116
2025-09-07 0.027480 0.069526 0.148907 0.295916 0.544427 0.927670 1.538099
2025-09-14 0.025328 0.066463 0.146019 0.296040 0.553282 0.954457 1.599395
2025-09-21 0.023317 0.063473 0.143030 0.295765 0.561351 0.980098 1.659383
2025-09-28 0.021473 0.060641 0.140118 0.295414 0.569172 1.005423 1.719305