Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.233728 0.263752 0.295579 0.331771 0.371722 0.414412 0.463418
2025-08-10 0.197796 0.239095 0.285434 0.341064 0.405805 0.478536 0.566180
2025-08-17 0.166511 0.213767 0.269467 0.339502 0.424706 0.524473 0.649554
2025-08-24 0.143498 0.194442 0.257177 0.339325 0.443179 0.569160 0.732477
2025-08-31 0.125059 0.178067 0.245999 0.338263 0.458955 0.609982 0.811553
2025-09-07 0.113204 0.168540 0.242028 0.345111 0.484040 0.662631 0.907019
2025-09-14 0.101044 0.157027 0.233950 0.345193 0.499369 0.702571 0.987111
2025-09-21 0.090871 0.147071 0.226804 0.345438 0.514155 0.741668 1.066988
2025-09-28 0.082200 0.138297 0.220342 0.345723 0.528378 0.779957 1.146682
2025-10-05 0.076047 0.132630 0.217737 0.351017 0.549465 0.828062 1.241233
2025-10-12 0.071611 0.129146 0.217960 0.360204 0.576258 0.884865 1.349713
2025-10-19 0.066199 0.123509 0.214319 0.363070 0.593526 0.928383 1.440543
2025-10-26 0.062095 0.119821 0.213686 0.370867 0.619124 0.985864 1.555115
2025-11-02 0.058726 0.117054 0.214269 0.380503 0.647879 1.049047 1.680363
2025-11-09 0.053487 0.110443 0.207951 0.378484 0.658165 1.084782 1.766001
2025-11-16 0.049090 0.104897 0.202935 0.378135 0.670836 1.124343 1.858497
2025-11-23 0.044995 0.099478 0.197667 0.376890 0.681765 1.161352 1.948078
2025-11-30 0.042616 0.097112 0.197567 0.384364 0.707171 1.221692 2.075452
2025-12-07 0.039387 0.092720 0.193429 0.384434 0.720048 1.262437 2.173303
2025-12-14 0.036480 0.088672 0.189585 0.384692 0.733081 1.303676 2.273012
2025-12-21 0.033838 0.084897 0.185939 0.384999 0.746053 1.345067 2.374039
2025-12-28 0.032060 0.082795 0.185337 0.390804 0.768754 1.403072 2.503516
2026-01-04 0.030879 0.081890 0.186998 0.400879 0.799342 1.475076 2.657841