Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 0.210889 0.239301 0.269714 0.304642 0.343598 0.385662 0.434470
2026-03-29 0.176211 0.215001 0.259222 0.313191 0.377094 0.450154 0.539808
2026-04-05 0.149216 0.193844 0.247544 0.316546 0.402444 0.505408 0.637681
2026-04-12 0.130090 0.178654 0.239940 0.322306 0.429364 0.562982 0.741423
2026-04-19 0.115993 0.167468 0.235250 0.330050 0.458036 0.623493 0.851991
2026-04-26 0.101412 0.153473 0.224815 0.328350 0.473100 0.666341 0.941452
2026-05-03 0.089641 0.141748 0.215843 0.327095 0.487680 0.708406 1.031386
2026-05-10 0.079824 0.131561 0.207727 0.325774 0.501276 0.749061 1.120846
2026-05-17 0.073610 0.126002 0.205609 0.332580 0.526428 0.806750 1.236842
2026-05-24 0.066597 0.118332 0.199413 0.332407 0.540740 0.849048 1.332306
2026-05-31 0.060639 0.111667 0.194041 0.332786 0.555468 0.892228 1.430734
2026-06-07 0.055520 0.105819 0.189349 0.333644 0.570618 0.936389 1.532365
2026-06-14 0.051583 0.101748 0.187433 0.339194 0.594127 0.995560 1.661712
2026-06-21 0.048539 0.098940 0.187366 0.347736 0.622931 1.064475 1.809826
2026-06-28 0.044940 0.094700 0.184392 0.350966 0.642952 1.120250 1.939709
2026-07-05 0.042123 0.091623 0.183169 0.357046 0.667995 1.185249 2.087455
2026-07-12 0.039878 0.089409 0.183281 0.365411 0.697329 1.258602 2.252192
2026-07-19 0.036520 0.084570 0.178030 0.363483 0.708235 1.301327 2.367604
2026-07-26 0.033564 0.080220 0.173300 0.362073 0.719798 1.345476 2.487145
2026-08-02 0.030889 0.076166 0.168765 0.360608 0.730998 1.389296 2.607814
2026-08-09 0.029380 0.074499 0.168848 0.368057 0.759081 1.463963 2.785261
2026-08-16 0.027248 0.071180 0.165240 0.367862 0.772570 1.513038 2.919478
2026-08-23 0.025357 0.068204 0.162077 0.368276 0.787132 1.564552 3.060050