Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.180205 0.202448 0.225736 0.251883 0.280363 0.310388 0.344376
2025-03-02 0.148448 0.178282 0.211119 0.249751 0.293758 0.342127 0.399103
2025-03-09 0.126593 0.161251 0.201090 0.249861 0.307522 0.373082 0.452799
2025-03-16 0.108885 0.146475 0.191438 0.248480 0.318161 0.399743 0.501654
2025-03-23 0.097874 0.138265 0.188316 0.253812 0.336091 0.434831 0.560971
2025-03-30 0.086598 0.128319 0.181808 0.253893 0.346851 0.460972 0.609771
2025-04-06 0.077019 0.119473 0.175688 0.253560 0.356427 0.485353 0.656573
2025-04-13 0.068900 0.111700 0.170148 0.253231 0.365459 0.508810 0.702390
2025-04-20 0.062707 0.105966 0.166761 0.255255 0.377237 0.535720 0.752933
2025-04-27 0.058779 0.103111 0.167030 0.262037 0.395328 0.571069 0.815017
2025-05-04 0.053928 0.098356 0.164129 0.264001 0.406634 0.597478 0.865761
2025-05-11 0.050070 0.094753 0.162571 0.267606 0.420092 0.626875 0.920909
2025-05-18 0.047747 0.093593 0.164830 0.277225 0.442890 0.670332 0.997144
2025-05-25 0.042826 0.087649 0.159316 0.274932 0.448450 0.690162 1.041763
2025-06-01 0.038960 0.083100 0.155613 0.275055 0.457337 0.714677 1.093222
2025-06-08 0.035175 0.078287 0.151097 0.273567 0.463612 0.735484 1.139829
2025-06-15 0.033130 0.076427 0.151255 0.279319 0.480776 0.772086 1.209207
2025-06-22 0.030272 0.072729 0.148031 0.279408 0.489205 0.796160 1.261232
2025-06-29 0.027619 0.069133 0.144693 0.279049 0.496785 0.819017 1.311824
2025-07-06 0.025221 0.065775 0.141505 0.278694 0.504222 0.841686 1.362441
2025-07-13 0.023405 0.063414 0.139916 0.280877 0.515621 0.870376 1.422223
2025-07-20 0.022424 0.062729 0.141327 0.288190 0.535357 0.911908 1.501478
2025-07-27 0.020850 0.060566 0.139814 0.290306 0.546680 0.940870 1.562646