Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.195235 0.217159 0.239798 0.264868 0.291798 0.319805 0.351079
2024-12-29 0.169033 0.199402 0.232059 0.269607 0.311406 0.356330 0.408083
2025-01-05 0.147165 0.182975 0.222881 0.270265 0.324610 0.384610 0.455474
2025-01-12 0.129543 0.169130 0.214711 0.270418 0.335997 0.410093 0.499465
2025-01-19 0.114197 0.156240 0.206167 0.268837 0.344381 0.431511 0.538565
2025-01-26 0.103226 0.147477 0.201532 0.271023 0.356554 0.456978 0.582331
2025-02-02 0.096429 0.143207 0.201793 0.278687 0.375032 0.489873 0.635121
2025-02-09 0.087763 0.135680 0.197250 0.279773 0.385020 0.512343 0.675457
2025-02-16 0.081489 0.130749 0.195545 0.284045 0.398708 0.539237 0.721289
2025-02-23 0.077675 0.128816 0.197492 0.292839 0.418054 0.573219 0.776133
2025-03-02 0.070303 0.121246 0.191331 0.290493 0.422744 0.588690 0.808002
2025-03-09 0.064701 0.115765 0.187617 0.291056 0.430951 0.608464 0.845276
2025-03-16 0.058665 0.109347 0.182451 0.289686 0.436901 0.625934 0.880615
2025-03-23 0.055234 0.106631 0.182341 0.295160 0.451970 0.655295 0.931442
2025-03-30 0.050844 0.102031 0.179183 0.296111 0.460790 0.676526 0.972010
2025-04-06 0.046696 0.097459 0.175756 0.296423 0.468573 0.696358 1.010890
2025-04-13 0.042462 0.092367 0.171208 0.294820 0.473496 0.712303 1.044748
2025-04-20 0.039537 0.089258 0.169499 0.297212 0.483920 0.735628 1.088472
2025-04-27 0.038129 0.088703 0.171722 0.305439 0.502674 0.770369 1.147649
2025-05-04 0.035348 0.085414 0.169376 0.306619 0.511281 0.791346 1.188652
2025-05-11 0.033458 0.083614 0.169313 0.311198 0.524776 0.819098 1.238952
2025-05-18 0.032610 0.083721 0.172363 0.320602 0.545388 0.856847 1.303062
2025-05-25 0.029670 0.079484 0.167910 0.318100 0.548420 0.870206 1.334230