Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.199720 0.225501 0.252794 0.283781 0.317930 0.354354 0.396085
2025-07-13 0.167081 0.202131 0.241366 0.288345 0.342853 0.403889 0.477182
2025-07-20 0.145736 0.187129 0.235733 0.296580 0.370245 0.456051 0.563028
2025-07-27 0.126594 0.171657 0.226907 0.298885 0.389345 0.498380 0.638757
2025-08-03 0.113427 0.161569 0.222928 0.305725 0.413232 0.546692 0.723289
2025-08-10 0.103153 0.153750 0.220565 0.313631 0.438038 0.596547 0.811377
2025-08-17 0.091227 0.142192 0.211865 0.311938 0.449486 0.629112 0.878105
2025-08-24 0.081680 0.132809 0.205015 0.311724 0.462193 0.663150 0.947437
2025-08-31 0.073297 0.124140 0.198216 0.310687 0.473136 0.694678 1.014039
2025-09-07 0.068039 0.119575 0.196798 0.316908 0.494114 0.740256 1.100947
2025-09-14 0.061871 0.112909 0.191589 0.316959 0.505877 0.773085 1.171004
2025-09-21 0.056466 0.106890 0.186787 0.317079 0.517393 0.805609 1.241349
2025-09-28 0.051296 0.100885 0.181723 0.316723 0.528564 0.838685 1.314726
2025-10-05 0.047583 0.096995 0.179704 0.320895 0.546643 0.882371 1.404865
2025-10-12 0.045045 0.094918 0.180459 0.329438 0.571721 0.937195 1.513051
2025-10-19 0.041639 0.090887 0.177553 0.331696 0.586847 0.977426 1.600717
2025-10-26 0.039383 0.088773 0.177747 0.339019 0.610232 1.030869 1.709744
2025-11-02 0.037498 0.087177 0.178690 0.347564 0.635832 1.088437 1.826639
2025-11-09 0.034276 0.082567 0.173818 0.345671 0.643996 1.118879 1.902577
2025-11-16 0.031581 0.078739 0.170057 0.345413 0.654713 1.153503 1.985801
2025-11-23 0.029025 0.074914 0.165983 0.344267 0.663722 1.185494 2.065600
2025-11-30 0.027619 0.073435 0.166283 0.351045 0.686529 1.240373 2.183052
2025-12-07 0.025576 0.070306 0.163090 0.351097 0.697491 1.276083 2.270638