Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.245711 0.278779 0.314146 0.354729 0.399951 0.448734 0.505279
2025-10-19 0.201293 0.245588 0.296025 0.357499 0.430181 0.513148 0.614786
2025-10-26 0.172936 0.224559 0.286558 0.366057 0.464791 0.582846 0.734099
2025-11-02 0.152213 0.208897 0.280254 0.375893 0.499824 0.653995 0.859161
2025-11-09 0.131487 0.189959 0.266829 0.374106 0.518558 0.704750 0.961031
2025-11-16 0.115271 0.174611 0.255787 0.373315 0.537143 0.755119 1.064265
2025-11-23 0.101713 0.161071 0.245342 0.371570 0.553203 0.801957 1.164444
2025-11-30 0.093258 0.153768 0.242607 0.379801 0.582882 0.868219 1.294054
2025-12-07 0.083876 0.143874 0.234885 0.379646 0.599835 0.916862 1.400830
2025-12-14 0.075820 0.135069 0.227786 0.379437 0.616081 0.964671 1.508155
2025-12-21 0.068969 0.127404 0.221605 0.379823 0.632738 1.013363 1.618582
2025-12-28 0.064278 0.122811 0.219800 0.386722 0.659501 1.078103 1.755681
2026-01-04 0.060503 0.119561 0.220134 0.397453 0.693580 1.156777 1.919694
2026-01-11 0.055769 0.114072 0.216166 0.400621 0.715476 1.217491 2.058833
2026-01-18 0.052540 0.110988 0.216029 0.410152 0.748259 1.296900 2.231098
2026-01-25 0.049807 0.108535 0.216738 0.421072 0.783841 1.382361 2.416847
2026-02-01 0.045537 0.102588 0.210532 0.419108 0.796973 1.431392 2.545259
2026-02-08 0.041849 0.097388 0.205219 0.418241 0.811732 1.483529 2.680789
2026-02-15 0.038402 0.092292 0.199619 0.416313 0.824268 1.532198 2.812303
2026-02-22 0.036515 0.090307 0.199889 0.425429 0.857187 1.617186 3.008960
2026-03-01 0.033805 0.086208 0.195560 0.425259 0.872803 1.672499 3.156558
2026-03-08 0.031334 0.082360 0.191391 0.425028 0.888135 1.727780 3.306142
2026-03-15 0.029139 0.078900 0.187715 0.425455 0.904605 1.785633 3.462412