Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.193276 0.219975 0.248628 0.281618 0.318506 0.358432 0.404869
2025-12-28 0.158693 0.194615 0.235747 0.286156 0.346090 0.414880 0.499613
2026-01-04 0.135762 0.177531 0.228074 0.293368 0.375069 0.473475 0.600484
2026-01-11 0.116542 0.161444 0.218527 0.295776 0.396850 0.523776 0.694277
2026-01-18 0.102873 0.150111 0.212876 0.301393 0.421847 0.578706 0.796830
2026-01-25 0.092764 0.141926 0.209916 0.309425 0.449656 0.638231 0.908542
2026-02-01 0.081724 0.130841 0.201412 0.308385 0.464163 0.680011 0.998238
2026-02-08 0.072458 0.121089 0.193517 0.306955 0.477253 0.719809 1.086735
2026-02-15 0.064619 0.112492 0.186253 0.305394 0.489410 0.758300 1.174848
2026-02-22 0.059800 0.108060 0.184753 0.312126 0.513943 0.815663 1.293053
2026-03-01 0.054154 0.101568 0.179266 0.311903 0.527393 0.856825 1.388876
2026-03-08 0.049294 0.095830 0.174369 0.312005 0.540994 0.898517 1.487193
2026-03-15 0.044842 0.090454 0.169796 0.312601 0.555987 0.944144 1.595772
2026-03-22 0.041575 0.086859 0.167914 0.317516 0.578298 1.002510 1.727591
2026-03-29 0.039080 0.084420 0.167804 0.325397 0.605982 1.070919 1.879020
2026-04-05 0.036094 0.080669 0.164926 0.328021 0.624631 1.125280 2.010070
2026-04-12 0.033862 0.078157 0.164082 0.334176 0.649706 1.191513 2.163934
2026-04-19 0.032147 0.076504 0.164688 0.342985 0.679941 1.267901 2.338449
2026-04-26 0.029470 0.072486 0.160280 0.341840 0.691810 1.312937 2.461169
2026-05-03 0.027019 0.068658 0.155874 0.340270 0.702626 1.356441 2.582998
2026-05-10 0.024794 0.065068 0.151600 0.338556 0.712913 1.399297 2.705408
2026-05-17 0.023589 0.063699 0.151843 0.345942 0.741053 1.475693 2.891052
2026-05-24 0.021834 0.060804 0.148536 0.345698 0.754137 1.524911 3.029467