Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.191260 0.215805 0.241738 0.271120 0.303429 0.337816 0.377121
2025-06-15 0.161424 0.194999 0.232453 0.277133 0.328775 0.386374 0.455255
2025-06-22 0.136727 0.175457 0.220769 0.277272 0.345384 0.424365 0.522363
2025-06-29 0.117616 0.159511 0.210687 0.277071 0.360097 0.459656 0.587127
2025-07-06 0.102440 0.146253 0.201940 0.276805 0.373574 0.493100 0.650380
2025-07-13 0.091515 0.136982 0.196903 0.280096 0.390823 0.531190 0.720343
2025-07-20 0.083932 0.131189 0.195554 0.287532 0.413172 0.576119 0.800291
2025-07-27 0.075782 0.123600 0.190853 0.289672 0.428040 0.611405 0.868609
2025-08-03 0.069985 0.118726 0.189326 0.295720 0.448046 0.653825 0.947467
2025-08-10 0.065442 0.115201 0.189284 0.303560 0.470540 0.700087 1.032758
2025-08-17 0.058997 0.108015 0.183138 0.301881 0.479084 0.727093 1.092248
2025-08-24 0.053599 0.101926 0.178080 0.301270 0.488801 0.755699 1.154482
2025-08-31 0.048441 0.095864 0.172793 0.300251 0.498263 0.784925 1.219645
2025-09-07 0.045357 0.093030 0.172388 0.306676 0.519049 0.831089 1.310411
2025-09-14 0.041368 0.088162 0.168226 0.306758 0.529962 0.863005 1.381422
2025-09-21 0.037740 0.083551 0.164087 0.306500 0.540135 0.893954 1.451757
2025-09-28 0.034480 0.079268 0.160132 0.306188 0.550023 0.924590 1.522324
2025-10-05 0.032133 0.076499 0.158589 0.309755 0.566145 0.965087 1.608692
2025-10-12 0.030634 0.075266 0.159684 0.317835 0.589849 1.017908 1.715107
2025-10-19 0.028478 0.072436 0.157603 0.320157 0.603990 1.056082 1.799963
2025-10-26 0.027039 0.070969 0.157940 0.326729 0.625414 1.106277 1.904618
2025-11-02 0.025933 0.070107 0.159349 0.335248 0.650386 1.162751 2.020410
2025-11-09 0.023749 0.066582 0.155280 0.333422 0.657376 1.190330 2.091265