Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.194789 0.220030 0.246759 0.277116 0.310580 0.346283 0.387200
2025-07-13 0.162410 0.196655 0.235016 0.280975 0.334331 0.394111 0.465930
2025-07-20 0.141437 0.181816 0.229268 0.288719 0.360745 0.444695 0.549419
2025-07-27 0.122800 0.166715 0.220605 0.290864 0.379227 0.485800 0.623085
2025-08-03 0.109951 0.156808 0.216580 0.297295 0.402168 0.532429 0.704881
2025-08-10 0.100060 0.149304 0.214379 0.305077 0.426383 0.581009 0.790655
2025-08-17 0.088513 0.138097 0.205925 0.303396 0.437424 0.612511 0.855280
2025-08-24 0.079264 0.128990 0.199253 0.303130 0.449651 0.645380 0.922319
2025-08-31 0.071155 0.120599 0.192666 0.302116 0.460232 0.675892 0.986796
2025-09-07 0.066071 0.116185 0.191297 0.308144 0.480550 0.720031 1.070954
2025-09-14 0.060113 0.109749 0.186279 0.308231 0.491993 0.751890 1.138879
2025-09-21 0.054825 0.103828 0.181478 0.308109 0.502784 0.782853 1.206211
2025-09-28 0.049812 0.098004 0.176568 0.307764 0.513615 0.814920 1.277338
2025-10-05 0.046190 0.094193 0.174549 0.311715 0.531000 0.857060 1.364400
2025-10-12 0.043733 0.092186 0.175293 0.320023 0.555356 0.910271 1.469354
2025-10-19 0.040441 0.088298 0.172516 0.322283 0.570140 0.949457 1.554602
2025-10-26 0.038229 0.086204 0.172626 0.329254 0.592601 1.000936 1.659763
2025-11-02 0.036427 0.084709 0.173638 0.337713 0.617709 1.057189 1.773734
2025-11-09 0.033298 0.080232 0.168906 0.335868 0.625614 1.086683 1.847302
2025-11-16 0.030676 0.076502 0.165231 0.335572 0.635930 1.120125 1.927756
2025-11-23 0.028195 0.072790 0.161278 0.334462 0.644669 1.151142 2.005091
2025-11-30 0.026829 0.071352 0.161564 0.341030 0.666773 1.204320 2.118863
2025-12-07 0.024851 0.068326 0.158489 0.341124 0.677482 1.239067 2.203942