Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.200600 0.225814 0.252371 0.282368 0.315251 0.350141 0.389899
2025-05-25 0.165663 0.199536 0.237163 0.281860 0.333295 0.390417 0.458429
2025-06-01 0.140780 0.179941 0.225499 0.281983 0.349673 0.427709 0.523968
2025-06-08 0.121312 0.163714 0.215147 0.281393 0.363648 0.461580 0.586063
2025-06-15 0.108901 0.154309 0.211477 0.287605 0.385070 0.504335 0.659818
2025-06-22 0.096348 0.143084 0.204046 0.287816 0.398155 0.536614 0.721311
2025-06-29 0.085770 0.133186 0.197139 0.287618 0.409948 0.567004 0.780881
2025-07-06 0.076807 0.124471 0.190831 0.287319 0.420968 0.596193 0.839344
2025-07-13 0.070248 0.118458 0.187572 0.290604 0.436471 0.631342 0.906307
2025-07-20 0.065777 0.115038 0.187569 0.298156 0.457806 0.674668 0.985192
2025-07-27 0.060391 0.109633 0.184127 0.300306 0.471323 0.707479 1.050550
2025-08-03 0.056660 0.106456 0.183678 0.306605 0.490746 0.748783 1.128473
2025-08-10 0.053511 0.104086 0.184489 0.315111 0.514177 0.797164 1.218786
2025-08-17 0.048398 0.097894 0.178800 0.313239 0.522036 0.823547 1.278888
2025-08-24 0.044092 0.092651 0.174190 0.312641 0.531573 0.852432 1.343178
2025-08-31 0.040154 0.087647 0.169547 0.311593 0.540170 0.879987 1.406104
2025-09-07 0.037927 0.085570 0.169641 0.318119 0.560623 0.925519 1.496277
2025-09-14 0.034848 0.081540 0.166032 0.318220 0.570791 0.955774 1.564557
2025-09-21 0.032004 0.077663 0.162373 0.317934 0.580164 0.984910 1.631724
2025-09-28 0.029417 0.074018 0.158834 0.317569 0.589244 1.013679 1.698872
2025-10-05 0.027580 0.071739 0.157619 0.321115 0.604770 1.052732 1.782441
2025-10-12 0.026467 0.070896 0.159018 0.329302 0.628237 1.104748 1.886988
2025-10-19 0.024733 0.068495 0.157245 0.331628 0.641807 1.141368 1.968481