Dec 31, 2018Dec 31, 2019Dec 31, 2020Dec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 20240.0050.010.020.050.10.2
ActualForecastBear 68.0%Bull 68.0%Bear 95.0%Bull 95.0%Bear 99.7%Bull 99.7%VET Price ForecastTimeAverage Price in $

Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.016471 0.018686 0.021096 0.023914 0.027120 0.030656 0.034855
2025-04-06 0.012695 0.015659 0.019167 0.023630 0.029168 0.035825 0.044454
2025-04-13 0.010329 0.013479 0.017426 0.022745 0.029747 0.038673 0.050960
2025-04-20 0.009283 0.012689 0.017163 0.023485 0.032223 0.043922 0.060856
2025-04-27 0.008434 0.012000 0.016878 0.024061 0.034421 0.048893 0.070781
2025-05-04 0.007797 0.011499 0.016749 0.024773 0.036794 0.054246 0.081705
2025-05-11 0.007016 0.010686 0.016064 0.024563 0.037745 0.057558 0.089873
2025-05-18 0.006417 0.010070 0.015588 0.024582 0.038988 0.061352 0.099074
2025-05-25 0.005816 0.009383 0.014924 0.024220 0.039560 0.064104 0.106820
2025-06-01 0.005449 0.009026 0.014734 0.024576 0.041287 0.068808 0.118168
2025-06-08 0.005021 0.008523 0.014255 0.024396 0.042083 0.072013 0.127234
2025-06-15 0.004805 0.008355 0.014307 0.025105 0.044439 0.078032 0.141752
2025-06-22 0.004339 0.007722 0.013528 0.024321 0.044142 0.079480 0.148338
2025-06-29 0.003996 0.007274 0.013032 0.023996 0.044638 0.082382 0.157911
2025-07-06 0.003605 0.006704 0.012267 0.023099 0.043978 0.083081 0.163317
2025-07-13 0.003485 0.006622 0.012380 0.023850 0.046495 0.089946 0.181417
2025-07-20 0.003352 0.006503 0.012409 0.024436 0.048733 0.096462 0.199454
2025-07-27 0.003245 0.006423 0.012505 0.025158 0.051301 0.103845 0.220001
2025-08-03 0.003037 0.006126 0.012153 0.024946 0.051940 0.107378 0.232751
2025-08-10 0.002872 0.005902 0.011926 0.024965 0.053055 0.111977 0.248246
2025-08-17 0.002681 0.005607 0.011531 0.024597 0.053309 0.114769 0.259998
2025-08-24 0.002577 0.005485 0.011480 0.024958 0.055172 0.121180 0.280578
2025-08-31 0.002429 0.005258 0.011192 0.024775 0.055809 0.124943 0.295385