Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.016475 0.018639 0.020982 0.023707 0.026791 0.030174 0.034168
2025-09-28 0.012529 0.015389 0.018749 0.022988 0.028200 0.034406 0.042365
2025-10-05 0.011021 0.014322 0.018423 0.023896 0.031020 0.039996 0.052187
2025-10-12 0.009839 0.013390 0.018007 0.024460 0.033262 0.044877 0.061418
2025-10-19 0.008959 0.012689 0.017737 0.025077 0.035505 0.049834 0.071094
2025-10-26 0.008013 0.011762 0.017015 0.024933 0.036598 0.053214 0.078794
2025-11-02 0.007276 0.011033 0.016471 0.024937 0.037832 0.056816 0.087044
2025-11-09 0.006535 0.010210 0.015692 0.024485 0.038297 0.059260 0.093697
2025-11-16 0.006082 0.009773 0.015435 0.024778 0.039883 0.063478 0.103395
2025-11-23 0.005575 0.009199 0.014904 0.024572 0.040634 0.066410 0.111239
2025-11-30 0.005294 0.008959 0.014875 0.025157 0.042688 0.071558 0.123118
2025-12-07 0.004778 0.008279 0.014065 0.024365 0.042359 0.072722 0.128317
2025-12-14 0.004394 0.007796 0.013554 0.024053 0.042852 0.075359 0.136396
2025-12-21 0.003977 0.007220 0.012838 0.023319 0.042540 0.076576 0.142064
2025-12-28 0.003864 0.007176 0.013042 0.024240 0.045262 0.083364 0.158458
2026-01-04 0.003707 0.007036 0.013059 0.024813 0.047379 0.089207 0.173572
2026-01-11 0.003570 0.006918 0.013106 0.025438 0.049637 0.095478 0.190028
2026-01-18 0.003342 0.006609 0.012767 0.025292 0.050387 0.098926 0.201216
2026-01-25 0.003153 0.006358 0.012518 0.025296 0.051424 0.102995 0.213974
2026-02-01 0.002927 0.006014 0.012058 0.024838 0.051486 0.105124 0.222907
2026-02-08 0.002802 0.005865 0.011974 0.025135 0.053114 0.110529 0.239150
2026-02-15 0.002634 0.005612 0.011660 0.024927 0.053662 0.113741 0.250954
2026-02-22 0.002557 0.005546 0.011723 0.025520 0.055962 0.120799 0.271748