Description

This analysis provides a forecast of WOO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.034804 0.043339 0.053276 0.065659 0.080631 0.098102 0.119985
2025-09-07 0.023084 0.033381 0.047042 0.066317 0.092602 0.126953 0.174955
2025-09-14 0.016393 0.026588 0.041522 0.064632 0.099034 0.147790 0.221382
2025-09-21 0.012205 0.021843 0.037199 0.062867 0.103940 0.166108 0.265929
2025-09-28 0.009438 0.018453 0.033929 0.061616 0.108782 0.184312 0.312121
2025-10-05 0.008324 0.017547 0.034412 0.066341 0.123619 0.219671 0.389265
2025-10-12 0.007163 0.016228 0.033825 0.068959 0.135095 0.250818 0.463261
2025-10-19 0.005920 0.014404 0.031876 0.068618 0.141074 0.273135 0.524737
2025-10-26 0.004949 0.012894 0.030198 0.068411 0.147111 0.296077 0.589749
2025-11-02 0.004137 0.011523 0.028505 0.067807 0.152162 0.317633 0.654477
2025-11-09 0.003323 0.009915 0.025936 0.064825 0.151843 0.328744 0.700536
2025-11-16 0.002619 0.008380 0.023190 0.060894 0.148817 0.333962 0.735442
2025-11-23 0.002017 0.007004 0.020685 0.057473 0.147393 0.344424 0.786963
2025-11-30 0.001691 0.006336 0.019857 0.058066 0.155496 0.376704 0.889286
2025-12-07 0.001357 0.005506 0.018355 0.056574 0.158342 0.397886 0.970729
2025-12-14 0.001090 0.004788 0.016957 0.055013 0.160678 0.418172 1.052766
2025-12-21 0.000888 0.004213 0.015822 0.053906 0.163949 0.441043 1.143549
2025-12-28 0.000831 0.004183 0.016428 0.058088 0.182133 0.502253 1.331169
2026-01-04 0.000743 0.003988 0.016425 0.060406 0.195577 0.553511 1.501040
2026-01-11 0.000626 0.003606 0.015655 0.060104 0.201511 0.586564 1.630470
2026-01-18 0.000530 0.003275 0.014969 0.059920 0.207769 0.621306 1.768275
2026-01-25 0.000445 0.002958 0.014232 0.059385 0.212876 0.653677 1.903894
2026-02-01 0.000355 0.002551 0.012995 0.056746 0.210899 0.666440 1.989962