Description

This analysis provides a forecast of WOO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.034722 0.043240 0.053157 0.065515 0.080458 0.097897 0.119739
2025-09-07 0.023027 0.033302 0.046937 0.066175 0.092412 0.126704 0.174627
2025-09-14 0.016354 0.026527 0.041432 0.064497 0.098837 0.147508 0.220978
2025-09-21 0.012176 0.021794 0.037119 0.062738 0.103737 0.165796 0.265449
2025-09-28 0.009416 0.018411 0.033857 0.061491 0.108571 0.183969 0.311563
2025-10-05 0.008304 0.017507 0.034338 0.066205 0.123377 0.219257 0.388560
2025-10-12 0.007146 0.016191 0.033753 0.068820 0.134834 0.250353 0.462435
2025-10-19 0.005906 0.014372 0.031808 0.068481 0.140805 0.272635 0.523813
2025-10-26 0.004936 0.012864 0.030132 0.068270 0.146823 0.295521 0.588686
2025-11-02 0.004126 0.011495 0.028440 0.067662 0.151854 0.317018 0.653259
2025-11-09 0.003314 0.009891 0.025879 0.064691 0.151544 0.328125 0.699268
2025-11-16 0.002611 0.008359 0.023136 0.060759 0.148506 0.333295 0.734034
2025-11-23 0.002011 0.006985 0.020633 0.057337 0.147063 0.343687 0.785345
2025-11-30 0.001686 0.006319 0.019808 0.057933 0.155157 0.375914 0.887485
2025-12-07 0.001354 0.005492 0.018312 0.056448 0.158004 0.397065 0.968784
2025-12-14 0.001088 0.004776 0.016918 0.054892 0.160338 0.417313 1.050655
2025-12-21 0.000886 0.004203 0.015786 0.053789 0.163604 0.440139 1.141251
2025-12-28 0.000829 0.004173 0.016390 0.057960 0.181744 0.501203 1.328436
2026-01-04 0.000741 0.003978 0.016388 0.060275 0.195163 0.552362 1.497965
2026-01-11 0.000624 0.003598 0.015620 0.059975 0.201087 0.585350 1.627129
2026-01-18 0.000528 0.003267 0.014935 0.059789 0.207321 0.619985 1.764551
2026-01-25 0.000444 0.002950 0.014198 0.059250 0.212401 0.652240 1.899746
2026-02-01 0.000354 0.002545 0.012966 0.056620 0.210439 0.665000 1.985683