Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.114590 0.129682 0.146277 0.165924 0.188604 0.214027 0.244776
2026-04-12 0.091582 0.112184 0.136957 0.169138 0.210123 0.260958 0.329371
2026-04-19 0.076726 0.099474 0.128653 0.169244 0.224901 0.299495 0.408651
2026-04-26 0.066188 0.089720 0.121490 0.168178 0.236163 0.333307 0.485842
2026-05-03 0.058177 0.081842 0.115190 0.166533 0.245252 0.364180 0.562912
2026-05-10 0.051805 0.075253 0.109546 0.164546 0.252820 0.393014 0.640922
2026-05-17 0.047928 0.071733 0.107782 0.167874 0.268622 0.436526 0.750313
2026-05-24 0.043426 0.066682 0.102971 0.165526 0.274492 0.464002 0.836141
2026-05-31 0.040151 0.063163 0.100108 0.165866 0.284708 0.500133 0.944258
2026-06-07 0.037271 0.059957 0.097349 0.165923 0.294220 0.536106 1.058599
2026-06-14 0.035351 0.058132 0.096670 0.169476 0.310497 0.587134 1.213851
2026-06-21 0.033413 0.056070 0.095333 0.171593 0.324191 0.635001 1.371977
2026-06-28 0.031563 0.054027 0.093889 0.173461 0.337932 0.685802 1.549684
2026-07-05 0.030132 0.052605 0.093433 0.177202 0.356110 0.749319 1.773355
2026-07-12 0.028379 0.050425 0.091334 0.177374 0.366674 0.797601 1.970339
2026-07-19 0.026645 0.048124 0.088771 0.176260 0.374205 0.840058 2.162320
2026-07-26 0.025008 0.045865 0.086071 0.174527 0.380050 0.879406 2.355621
2026-08-02 0.023485 0.043699 0.083353 0.172433 0.384735 0.916642 2.552499
2026-08-09 0.022654 0.042830 0.083180 0.175941 0.403376 0.993187 2.890283
2026-08-16 0.021322 0.040843 0.080511 0.173466 0.406830 1.029785 3.111045
2026-08-23 0.020353 0.039521 0.079129 0.173824 0.417566 1.088527 3.423257
2026-08-30 0.019430 0.038227 0.077689 0.173884 0.427541 1.147026 3.752826
2026-09-06 0.018869 0.037649 0.077765 0.177630 0.448007 1.240593 4.241529