Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.325872 0.381429 0.445906 0.526824 0.626446 0.746104 0.902246
2025-07-27 0.250973 0.323414 0.418265 0.554121 0.748048 1.021850 1.450768
2025-08-03 0.206250 0.284879 0.397401 0.575797 0.862635 1.327041 2.184761
2025-08-10 0.173762 0.252911 0.374174 0.582551 0.952052 1.624935 3.068031
2025-08-17 0.149910 0.227574 0.353359 0.584562 1.030636 1.933106 4.161049
2025-08-24 0.131019 0.205927 0.333007 0.580400 1.094340 2.238135 5.465845
2025-08-31 0.115366 0.186680 0.312502 0.569881 1.140608 2.525854 6.965262
2025-09-07 0.106179 0.176928 0.306831 0.586530 1.251076 3.024042 9.595268
2025-09-14 0.095231 0.162283 0.289243 0.573799 1.288252 3.348639 12.004715
2025-09-21 0.087923 0.153299 0.281061 0.579655 1.374658 3.870728 15.972477
2025-09-28 0.080979 0.144039 0.270742 0.578109 1.441204 4.374480 20.734988
2025-10-05 0.076679 0.139369 0.269198 0.597387 1.575844 5.220670 29.340905
2025-10-12 0.072505 0.134543 0.266831 0.615001 1.717081 6.229543 42.238064
2025-10-19 0.068524 0.129638 0.263580 0.629903 1.858829 7.390435 61.300809
2025-10-26 0.065278 0.125877 0.262366 0.650387 2.032230 8.909870 93.083003
2025-11-02 0.061553 0.120621 0.256776 0.656932 2.158455 10.341846 135.307405
2025-11-09 0.057971 0.115271 0.250161 0.658919 2.269610 11.850533 195.884864
2025-11-16 0.054417 0.109596 0.241930 0.654013 2.351227 13.302036 277.890361
2025-11-23 0.050886 0.103614 0.232109 0.641822 2.396304 14.579682 382.322177
2025-11-30 0.049020 0.101328 0.231644 0.661078 2.604163 17.621311 663.590248
2025-12-07 0.045955 0.095886 0.222006 0.646345 2.635303 19.130458 935.890042
2025-12-14 0.043963 0.092844 0.218543 0.653119 2.787576 22.274852 1611.912599
2025-12-21 0.041824 0.089244 0.213067 0.651331 2.893977 25.225243 2709.425871