Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.181337 0.208849 0.240431 0.279661 0.327490 0.384437 0.458168
2025-04-06 0.139883 0.175045 0.220097 0.283306 0.371802 0.494658 0.684468
2025-04-13 0.113198 0.150064 0.201135 0.279593 0.402008 0.595054 0.944181
2025-04-20 0.097829 0.135748 0.191687 0.284382 0.443298 0.724871 1.318673
2025-04-27 0.087320 0.125835 0.185742 0.291738 0.489504 0.880468 1.842200
2025-05-04 0.079033 0.117573 0.180281 0.297780 0.534411 1.053051 2.542105
2025-05-11 0.072733 0.111304 0.176656 0.305742 0.585238 1.263540 3.555552
2025-05-18 0.066893 0.104845 0.171417 0.309110 0.627255 1.476369 4.851550
2025-05-25 0.061761 0.098853 0.165940 0.310570 0.665402 1.702728 6.572037
2025-06-01 0.056985 0.092862 0.159489 0.308447 0.694103 1.921087 8.715299
2025-06-08 0.052531 0.086923 0.152260 0.303032 0.712494 2.120342 11.285444
2025-06-15 0.050086 0.084420 0.151462 0.312311 0.776178 2.540603 16.963617
2025-06-22 0.046428 0.079292 0.144747 0.306315 0.793584 2.797372 22.625377
2025-06-29 0.044028 0.076368 0.142312 0.310736 0.847308 3.283319 34.703936
2025-07-06 0.041222 0.072362 0.137022 0.306650 0.871291 3.653931 49.401487
2025-07-13 0.039389 0.070128 0.135353 0.312070 0.932855 4.329151 83.231007
2025-07-20 0.037907 0.068461 0.134736 0.320368 1.010557 5.246766 158.212576
2025-07-27 0.036450 0.066700 0.133669 0.327185 1.086935 6.320385 326.783627
2025-08-03 0.035226 0.065317 0.133316 0.336174 1.179211 7.768910 837.608295
2025-08-10 0.033816 0.063402 0.131429 0.339979 1.250785 9.243557 2396.174747
2025-08-17 0.032411 0.061374 0.129022 0.341629 1.314016 10.862820 9156.147837
2025-08-24 0.030926 0.059051 0.125609 0.339230 1.355814 12.397230 52487.294890
2025-08-31 0.029393 0.056503 0.121352 0.333114 1.374784 13.719635 748816.591638