Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.261852 0.304022 0.352438 0.412499 0.485505 0.572008 0.683204
2025-08-10 0.196637 0.249793 0.318057 0.413705 0.546807 0.729389 1.005872
2025-08-17 0.159654 0.215934 0.294192 0.414148 0.599337 0.885075 1.382168
2025-08-24 0.134656 0.190970 0.274205 0.411164 0.641268 1.033401 1.804660
2025-08-31 0.115906 0.170715 0.255812 0.404272 0.672223 1.170252 2.265453
2025-09-07 0.105010 0.160151 0.249780 0.415078 0.734933 1.383355 2.984818
2025-09-14 0.093137 0.145982 0.235054 0.406846 0.758867 1.526807 3.626718
2025-09-21 0.085234 0.137155 0.227800 0.410499 0.807003 1.739686 4.582091
2025-09-28 0.078005 0.128435 0.219241 0.409594 0.844825 1.942906 5.657960
2025-10-05 0.073503 0.123915 0.217643 0.422402 0.917436 2.266085 7.405050
2025-10-12 0.069175 0.119128 0.214746 0.431722 0.984446 2.605499 9.562021
2025-10-19 0.065240 0.114583 0.211622 0.439843 1.051039 2.977951 12.313436
2025-10-26 0.061976 0.111055 0.210290 0.452513 1.136428 3.468163 16.425561
2025-11-02 0.058271 0.106254 0.205659 0.456415 1.198951 3.920204 21.182559
2025-11-09 0.054743 0.101419 0.200293 0.457431 1.253719 4.381991 27.050934
2025-11-16 0.051286 0.096366 0.193775 0.454165 1.294220 4.815962 33.876700
2025-11-23 0.047891 0.091107 0.186129 0.446408 1.317534 5.193487 41.402133
2025-11-30 0.046067 0.089024 0.185608 0.458610 1.417295 6.036210 57.395593
2025-12-07 0.043152 0.084282 0.178167 0.449317 1.433807 6.452801 70.002453
2025-12-14 0.041234 0.081572 0.175358 0.453441 1.505620 7.266267 93.904577
2025-12-21 0.039207 0.078436 0.171123 0.452419 1.556844 8.011921 122.673775
2025-12-28 0.038083 0.077258 0.171701 0.466883 1.682024 9.420338 182.867838
2026-01-04 0.036841 0.075691 0.171086 0.477416 1.795450 10.908935 270.614265