Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.174258 0.199807 0.228798 0.264334 0.306997 0.356916 0.420259
2025-06-15 0.136951 0.170626 0.213090 0.271484 0.351158 0.458279 0.617121
2025-06-22 0.110721 0.146130 0.194247 0.266253 0.374629 0.537543 0.813263
2025-06-29 0.095484 0.131899 0.184440 0.268763 0.406780 0.635868 1.074440
2025-07-06 0.083107 0.118985 0.173279 0.265521 0.427482 0.720396 1.347308
2025-07-13 0.075391 0.111487 0.168542 0.270760 0.462697 0.840459 1.747165
2025-07-20 0.069376 0.105578 0.165076 0.276964 0.500652 0.978237 2.264384
2025-07-27 0.064302 0.100390 0.161814 0.282560 0.538524 1.129508 2.915875
2025-08-03 0.060301 0.096411 0.159928 0.290181 0.582518 1.312524 3.802437
2025-08-10 0.056187 0.091688 0.155937 0.292678 0.615665 1.482499 4.802767
2025-08-17 0.052411 0.087109 0.151537 0.293399 0.644807 1.655090 5.998529
2025-08-24 0.048826 0.082475 0.146396 0.291508 0.666935 1.818038 7.356813
2025-08-31 0.045251 0.077567 0.140250 0.286619 0.681038 1.967309 8.892618
2025-09-07 0.043288 0.075539 0.139712 0.294878 0.734971 2.288981 12.028895
2025-09-14 0.040302 0.071221 0.133865 0.289172 0.746419 2.459807 14.557854
2025-09-21 0.038320 0.068704 0.131556 0.291979 0.785534 2.772402 19.086720
2025-09-28 0.036044 0.065379 0.127090 0.288392 0.803088 3.005003 23.692965
2025-10-05 0.034649 0.063734 0.126179 0.294201 0.855122 3.447367 32.628781
2025-10-12 0.033432 0.062344 0.125675 0.301081 0.914063 3.983924 46.243627
2025-10-19 0.032258 0.060939 0.124969 0.307291 0.973452 4.589181 66.400489
2025-10-26 0.031293 0.059896 0.125003 0.315753 1.045956 5.368324 100.526352
2025-11-02 0.030082 0.058207 0.123271 0.318526 1.096343 6.065492 145.395377
2025-11-09 0.028858 0.056392 0.121031 0.319328 1.139054 6.771249 209.631276