Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.185793 0.213922 0.246126 0.285999 0.334422 0.391812 0.465710
2025-05-04 0.145292 0.182041 0.229013 0.294685 0.386154 0.512239 0.705126
2025-05-11 0.121397 0.161690 0.217568 0.303386 0.436991 0.646669 1.022483
2025-05-18 0.104256 0.145436 0.206243 0.306898 0.478766 0.780712 1.407293
2025-05-25 0.091527 0.132507 0.196189 0.308421 0.515991 0.919712 1.883246
2025-06-01 0.081210 0.121196 0.186017 0.306491 0.545387 1.054881 2.444833
2025-06-08 0.072502 0.110964 0.175563 0.301205 0.566049 1.180107 3.083495
2025-06-15 0.067507 0.106032 0.173161 0.310152 0.618686 1.404290 4.236850
2025-06-22 0.061273 0.098110 0.164088 0.303741 0.634902 1.544042 5.270839
2025-06-29 0.057157 0.093368 0.160122 0.307017 0.675397 1.775606 7.024224
2025-07-06 0.052829 0.087719 0.153579 0.303282 0.696995 1.962961 8.914533
2025-07-13 0.050057 0.084619 0.151590 0.309450 0.747795 2.285308 12.353617
2025-07-20 0.047658 0.082025 0.150405 0.317701 0.809464 2.704865 17.947661
2025-07-27 0.045328 0.079323 0.148652 0.324343 0.869944 3.180804 26.406680
2025-08-03 0.043390 0.077184 0.147807 0.333220 0.942405 3.795097 40.983134
2025-08-10 0.041258 0.074428 0.145221 0.336904 0.999139 4.401798 62.224283
2025-08-17 0.039194 0.071607 0.142119 0.338541 1.049852 5.048903 95.366606
2025-08-24 0.037088 0.068500 0.137973 0.336349 1.085351 5.658223 143.549746
2025-08-31 0.034958 0.065158 0.132887 0.330398 1.103483 6.182291 209.732261
2025-09-07 0.033895 0.064023 0.132984 0.340460 1.197860 7.513470 428.839972
2025-09-14 0.032018 0.060946 0.127947 0.333247 1.209547 8.136539 673.753446
2025-09-21 0.030828 0.059299 0.126321 0.336933 1.277593 9.513242 1481.541254
2025-09-28 0.029360 0.056912 0.122552 0.332731 1.304160 10.516209 2978.065686