Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.251369 0.290611 0.335282 0.390170 0.456172 0.533446 0.631450
2025-09-28 0.189188 0.238953 0.302041 0.389072 0.507896 0.667249 0.901974
2025-10-05 0.157916 0.212588 0.287585 0.400531 0.570908 0.826175 1.253435
2025-10-12 0.136390 0.192892 0.275346 0.408599 0.626896 0.986420 1.660500
2025-10-19 0.120508 0.177493 0.265041 0.415273 0.679702 1.153672 2.140852
2025-10-26 0.109469 0.167113 0.259825 0.427811 0.743824 1.357690 2.775332
2025-11-02 0.099089 0.155931 0.251003 0.431605 0.791964 1.544928 3.460243
2025-11-09 0.090040 0.145513 0.241563 0.431919 0.832695 1.728958 4.230357
2025-11-16 0.081934 0.135550 0.231272 0.428324 0.863999 1.901773 5.066688
2025-11-23 0.074586 0.125966 0.220220 0.420976 0.885032 2.056946 5.945703
2025-11-30 0.070496 0.121762 0.218642 0.432921 0.953602 2.359473 7.512067
2025-12-07 0.064773 0.113828 0.208689 0.424789 0.971136 2.528262 8.727030
2025-12-14 0.060760 0.108823 0.204157 0.428600 1.022011 2.821649 10.720796
2025-12-21 0.056697 0.103296 0.197874 0.427336 1.059677 3.093009 12.905875
2025-12-28 0.054236 0.100695 0.197424 0.440154 1.141305 3.554102 16.597303
2026-01-04 0.051699 0.097653 0.195599 0.449188 1.214862 4.026789 21.040944
2026-01-11 0.049279 0.094595 0.193330 0.456665 1.286347 4.534047 26.567329
2026-01-18 0.047493 0.092697 0.193465 0.470718 1.384664 5.218240 34.798192
2026-01-25 0.045243 0.089562 0.190297 0.474972 1.451057 5.804326 43.623986
2026-02-01 0.042963 0.086140 0.186033 0.475324 1.504062 6.365393 53.787258
2026-02-08 0.040642 0.082417 0.180605 0.471293 1.539831 6.866605 64.919191
2026-02-15 0.038303 0.078455 0.174151 0.463056 1.557070 7.282903 76.537480
2026-02-22 0.037192 0.077238 0.174543 0.476448 1.668683 8.360920 102.940675