Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.211861 0.243333 0.278759 0.321759 0.372768 0.431619 0.505057
2025-11-09 0.161575 0.202215 0.252870 0.321387 0.412784 0.532126 0.702449
2025-11-16 0.131874 0.175318 0.233553 0.318839 0.443150 0.621905 0.906277
2025-11-23 0.111384 0.155097 0.217091 0.313776 0.465190 0.701070 1.112827
2025-11-30 0.099864 0.144766 0.211668 0.322033 0.506527 0.816140 1.406681
2025-12-07 0.087902 0.131628 0.199448 0.316634 0.523558 0.893638 1.656520
2025-12-14 0.079755 0.123038 0.192707 0.318421 0.552259 0.997009 1.986968
2025-12-21 0.072678 0.115118 0.185726 0.318221 0.576689 1.097236 2.343642
2025-12-28 0.068025 0.110553 0.183638 0.326203 0.617938 1.240814 2.850156
2026-01-04 0.063530 0.105663 0.180228 0.330936 0.653311 1.380513 3.402127
2026-01-11 0.059617 0.101316 0.177168 0.335718 0.689569 1.531596 4.048851
2026-01-18 0.056732 0.098481 0.176517 0.345198 0.738163 1.725972 4.912728
2026-01-25 0.053238 0.094218 0.172746 0.347831 0.772384 1.896510 5.800491
2026-02-01 0.049820 0.089759 0.168080 0.347851 0.800632 2.060870 6.765872
2026-02-08 0.046508 0.085165 0.162593 0.345132 0.821422 2.211021 7.773074
2026-02-15 0.043295 0.080454 0.156317 0.339589 0.833604 2.339605 8.779950
2026-02-22 0.041627 0.078700 0.156116 0.348654 0.888335 2.623900 10.682557
2026-03-01 0.038929 0.074563 0.150257 0.342728 0.898704 2.762796 12.004462
2026-03-08 0.037060 0.072000 0.147627 0.344689 0.933342 3.002037 14.061324
2026-03-15 0.035198 0.069284 0.144352 0.344470 0.961379 3.228572 16.270068
2026-03-22 0.034067 0.068055 0.144390 0.353234 1.020775 3.605238 19.826762
2026-03-29 0.032789 0.066386 0.143203 0.358431 1.069849 3.962351 23.707012
2026-04-05 0.031600 0.064815 0.142086 0.363683 1.120792 4.353396 28.399007