Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.171558 0.196621 0.225044 0.259863 0.301637 0.350482 0.412416
2025-06-15 0.134800 0.167813 0.209402 0.266527 0.344372 0.448885 0.603607
2025-06-22 0.108976 0.143708 0.190853 0.261317 0.367216 0.526137 0.794547
2025-06-29 0.093978 0.129713 0.181217 0.263770 0.398683 0.622204 1.049118
2025-07-06 0.081795 0.117015 0.170256 0.260595 0.418964 0.704825 1.315068
2025-07-13 0.074192 0.109629 0.165581 0.265695 0.453369 0.821966 1.704111
2025-07-20 0.068264 0.103804 0.162149 0.271725 0.490406 0.956234 2.206592
2025-07-27 0.063263 0.098688 0.158918 0.277152 0.527327 1.103502 2.838592
2025-08-03 0.059324 0.094771 0.157053 0.284590 0.570270 1.281724 3.698076
2025-08-10 0.055280 0.090135 0.153144 0.287051 0.602709 1.447449 4.667989
2025-08-17 0.051571 0.085645 0.148843 0.287794 0.631285 1.615860 5.827279
2025-08-24 0.048036 0.081075 0.143765 0.285864 0.652697 1.773808 7.137347
2025-08-31 0.044519 0.076250 0.137726 0.281051 0.666389 1.918706 8.618292
2025-09-07 0.042588 0.074255 0.137187 0.289104 0.718937 2.230957 11.637750
2025-09-14 0.039654 0.070016 0.131457 0.283527 0.730125 2.396953 14.071206
2025-09-21 0.037708 0.067548 0.129200 0.286294 0.768358 2.700784 18.424924
2025-09-28 0.035471 0.064284 0.124825 0.282792 0.785518 2.926728 22.845250
2025-10-05 0.034098 0.062664 0.123919 0.288443 0.836152 3.355200 31.388113
2025-10-12 0.032897 0.061292 0.123407 0.295123 0.893426 3.874048 44.354878
2025-10-19 0.031740 0.059904 0.122696 0.301140 0.951072 4.458476 63.472022
2025-10-26 0.030790 0.058877 0.122721 0.309388 1.021585 5.211116 95.726489
2025-11-02 0.029600 0.057222 0.121029 0.312120 1.070748 5.885506 138.018902
2025-11-09 0.028400 0.055445 0.118846 0.312944 1.112533 6.568861 198.386152