Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.243450 0.281516 0.324929 0.378389 0.442841 0.518527 0.614853
2025-09-07 0.187410 0.236980 0.300082 0.387588 0.507846 0.670410 0.912243
2025-09-14 0.150276 0.201936 0.272899 0.380048 0.542367 0.787064 1.200307
2025-09-21 0.128871 0.181652 0.258687 0.383392 0.588449 0.928332 1.572231
2025-09-28 0.112430 0.164706 0.244870 0.382391 0.624915 1.061821 1.980878
2025-10-05 0.102313 0.155220 0.240110 0.393843 0.683674 1.250191 2.575389
2025-10-12 0.093602 0.146391 0.234526 0.402039 0.737655 1.445606 3.280656
2025-10-19 0.086187 0.138499 0.229012 0.408801 0.789958 1.654429 4.133261
2025-10-26 0.080702 0.133066 0.226815 0.421169 0.856857 1.920109 5.308250
2025-11-02 0.074900 0.126270 0.221002 0.424924 0.905452 2.159345 6.574046
2025-11-09 0.069483 0.119486 0.214189 0.425155 0.945766 2.392902 8.008177
2025-11-16 0.064401 0.112729 0.206479 0.421927 0.976695 2.613103 9.589864
2025-11-23 0.059403 0.105696 0.197519 0.414788 0.997295 2.817059 11.339188
2025-11-30 0.056567 0.102595 0.196308 0.425869 1.071996 3.238040 14.667871
2025-12-07 0.052424 0.096439 0.187817 0.417569 1.088665 3.465294 17.271466
2025-12-14 0.049652 0.092794 0.184328 0.421344 1.143611 3.870092 21.651109
2025-12-21 0.046801 0.088694 0.179313 0.420228 1.183142 4.238283 26.500647
2025-12-28 0.045140 0.086944 0.179431 0.433066 1.273977 4.892714 35.244958
2026-01-04 0.043370 0.084779 0.178304 0.442260 1.355890 5.568529 46.254969
2026-01-11 0.041641 0.082533 0.176706 0.449849 1.435292 6.298293 60.601517
2026-01-18 0.040371 0.081192 0.177157 0.463737 1.545141 7.298480 83.353762
2026-01-25 0.038695 0.078771 0.174617 0.467956 1.618059 8.151342 108.955458
2026-02-01 0.036959 0.076058 0.171024 0.468215 1.675057 8.964101 139.830568