Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.400410 1.732241 2.165802 2.793413 3.715149 5.086473 7.434347
2025-03-02 1.007571 1.379610 1.950095 2.964311 4.931977 9.239679 22.780027
2025-03-09 0.786508 1.143383 1.747417 2.982050 5.953740 15.326715 83.938742
2025-03-16 0.635839 0.958914 1.540924 2.847672 6.539838 22.668585 464.527525
2025-03-23 0.561744 0.878773 1.487451 2.999534 8.162141 44.383998 NaN
2025-03-30 0.496762 0.797673 1.402827 3.026943 9.524467 85.723322 NaN
2025-04-06 0.438900 0.717423 1.295831 2.936699 10.356807 156.553386 NaN
2025-04-13 0.394570 0.655103 1.211781 2.872998 11.335591 341.526637 NaN
2025-04-20 0.376370 0.640985 1.233670 3.162948 15.456257 7493.931939 NaN
2025-04-27 0.354643 0.615643 1.221674 3.335923 19.780818 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.328814 0.577604 1.168465 3.324139 22.627188 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.302065 0.534108 1.092186 3.180761 23.542549 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.285951 0.512577 1.072239 3.284364 29.526306 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.274013 0.498852 1.071219 3.484835 40.680867 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.258594 0.475211 1.036958 3.504009 49.217143 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.240523 0.443480 0.973305 3.334760 50.334797 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.232271 0.433821 0.973724 3.525221 72.929777 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.221548 0.417077 0.949284 3.559695 92.690134 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.209120 0.395045 0.904682 3.446213 100.354401 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.198425 0.376318 0.867853 3.366320 112.383872 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.195831 0.377124 0.894037 3.731351 242.339129 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.190817 0.371368 0.897566 3.950774 494.731950 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.183049 0.357924 0.872603 3.935787 722.158520 NaN NaN