Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 1.200727 1.470121 1.818376 2.316611 3.038651 4.096999 5.877645
2025-04-06 0.830632 1.111084 1.528554 2.243611 3.563581 6.259932 13.821667
2025-04-13 0.650365 0.918018 1.353679 2.198805 4.082329 9.317654 37.561387
2025-04-20 0.572415 0.847439 1.333253 2.398123 5.313914 17.507766 326.816570
2025-04-27 0.508523 0.779641 1.289028 2.520525 6.572219 33.443376 NaN
2025-05-04 0.449919 0.706405 1.209401 2.515419 7.489269 60.441597 NaN
2025-05-11 0.397970 0.634861 1.113127 2.418696 7.969237 101.323546 NaN
2025-05-18 0.366642 0.596407 1.077339 2.477257 9.402583 293.931351 NaN
2025-05-25 0.344517 0.571786 1.065793 2.607520 11.737155 3517.755049 NaN
2025-06-01 0.319296 0.536950 1.022058 2.610112 13.366521 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.293053 0.496543 0.956683 2.505994 13.919428 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.279859 0.481588 0.951637 2.631946 17.637755 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.263495 0.458383 0.922252 2.654517 20.705254 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.245665 0.430121 0.874765 2.579918 22.226020 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.230620 0.406425 0.835737 2.528022 24.296733 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.225641 0.404439 0.856113 2.773485 37.205670 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.218202 0.395963 0.856393 2.924990 53.185672 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.207795 0.379528 0.830283 2.918694 64.068661 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.195969 0.358752 0.788028 2.799053 66.063670 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.189094 0.349041 0.778094 2.871440 90.801463 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.184310 0.343822 0.781217 3.033052 153.216737 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.177120 0.332147 0.761939 3.036276 204.899341 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 0.168368 0.316023 0.726163 2.907023 207.371444 NaN NaN