Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.039772 1.249010 1.512492 1.877988 2.388110 3.102563 4.236260
2025-12-28 0.798450 1.051004 1.419218 2.033735 3.129607 5.264119 10.809513
2026-01-04 0.656558 0.914624 1.328325 2.115718 3.826231 8.408097 31.430331
2026-01-11 0.554968 0.802243 1.224783 2.108623 4.353968 12.473916 121.058077
2026-01-18 0.477678 0.708218 1.120135 2.043444 4.698569 17.393084 1227.108885
2026-01-25 0.430637 0.654436 1.072422 2.078753 5.400080 28.425761 NaN
2026-02-01 0.398353 0.619809 1.051604 2.169147 6.458855 56.519421 NaN
2026-02-08 0.364347 0.576017 1.001119 2.159472 7.151814 106.474946 NaN
2026-02-15 0.332153 0.530886 0.938252 2.089555 7.501940 191.191788 NaN
2026-02-22 0.314637 0.511418 0.927825 2.175412 8.977832 1072.116623 NaN
2026-03-01 0.295070 0.485254 0.896810 2.183060 10.054752 86109.215304 NaN
2026-03-08 0.274624 0.454965 0.850800 2.122181 10.541189 NaN NaN
2026-03-15 0.257795 0.430759 0.816771 2.097631 11.459421 NaN NaN
2026-03-22 0.251716 0.428108 0.835679 2.286095 15.660970 NaN NaN
2026-03-29 0.242298 0.417255 0.831644 2.384488 19.752632 NaN NaN
2026-04-05 0.230145 0.399215 0.805537 2.376237 22.322291 NaN NaN
2026-04-12 0.217031 0.377904 0.767505 2.298785 23.187986 NaN NaN
2026-04-19 0.208768 0.366566 0.755241 2.340745 28.011083 NaN NaN
2026-04-26 0.202949 0.360103 0.755568 2.448414 37.600391 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.194503 0.346948 0.734759 2.436872 43.240974 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.185026 0.330738 0.703034 2.353593 44.417579 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.180578 0.325743 0.703726 2.455890 62.585747 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.174384 0.316197 0.689444 2.465018 76.670395 NaN NaN