Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.380994 1.718909 2.170914 2.846651 3.885362e+00 5.533059 8.640974
2025-09-07 0.985751 1.352059 1.928070 2.997553 5.241899e+00 10.946211 36.674067
2025-09-14 0.775692 1.123490 1.725109 3.012757 6.444885e+00 20.456921 421.767137
2025-09-21 0.638300 0.956158 1.540474 2.918890 7.338279e+00 36.497713 NaN
2025-09-28 0.549516 0.844975 1.415005 2.873788 8.423119e+00 75.378264 NaN
2025-10-05 0.511109 0.812700 1.432623 3.208850 1.204906e+01 641.899012 NaN
2025-10-12 0.470409 0.766204 1.403210 3.396391 1.603630e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.427282 0.706374 1.325235 3.376510 1.893224e+01 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.386700 0.645083 1.228400 3.233471 2.042906e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.361963 0.612641 1.195298 3.323476 2.621831e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.344007 0.591612 1.186116 3.515643 3.750165e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.322352 0.559552 1.140092 3.514490 4.646630e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.298211 0.519909 1.067434 3.353373 4.966398e+01 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.285887 0.505146 1.062023 3.544050 7.972482e+01 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.270785 0.482275 1.028493 3.563206 1.099689e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.254394 0.454753 0.976281 3.443171 1.261169e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.240987 0.432864 0.937456 3.385675 1.599895e+02 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.237645 0.434007 0.969191 3.815286 7.116911e+02 NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.230862 0.426184 0.971197 4.058255 7.288632e+03 NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.220760 0.409346 0.940719 4.032414 3.510074e+05 NaN NaN
2026-01-18 0.209395 0.388530 0.894015 3.847083 1.132439e+07 NaN NaN
2026-01-25 0.202838 0.378992 0.883783 3.963579 NaN NaN NaN
2026-02-01 0.198198 0.373758 0.887318 4.213664 NaN NaN NaN