Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.494904 1.872132 2.379801 3.143857 4.327268 6.220394 9.826511
2025-07-27 1.022061 1.407969 2.015635 3.143462 5.500145 11.408224 36.802029
2025-08-03 0.779806 1.131248 1.736309 3.017301 6.344477 18.984756 234.207706
2025-08-10 0.657890 0.994131 1.616681 3.095543 7.856262 38.695495 NaN
2025-08-17 0.582286 0.910713 1.558386 3.269680 10.162931 110.037322 NaN
2025-08-24 0.514052 0.822628 1.457817 3.269084 12.002114 381.651510 NaN
2025-08-31 0.453384 0.736082 1.334165 3.127943 12.975786 1888.662185 NaN
2025-09-07 0.421071 0.698390 1.309766 3.293656 16.911785 NaN NaN
2025-09-14 0.387557 0.652208 1.252466 3.313369 20.236023 NaN NaN
2025-09-21 0.354723 0.602434 1.174511 3.212371 22.219514 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.328854 0.563808 1.116737 3.165253 25.285684 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.319509 0.559057 1.146431 3.524610 41.181029 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.305361 0.542370 1.141646 3.742487 63.226786 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.287024 0.514049 1.098031 3.736135 81.298327 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.267359 0.480545 1.033023 3.573238 87.969839 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.255428 0.463590 1.014158 3.673395 134.214594 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.246854 0.453435 1.013871 3.897713 277.182157 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.235135 0.434528 0.982488 3.896938 440.637118 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.221652 0.410180 0.929820 3.714991 476.045259 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.215369 0.402656 0.930392 3.928712 1897.355622 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.206880 0.388917 0.908017 3.954226 7858.937946 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.197065 0.371114 0.869330 3.823710 16498.498579 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.188901 0.356821 0.840685 3.762992 352458.304762 NaN NaN