Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.465223 0.516206 0.571147 0.634866 0.706872 0.785880 0.879352
2025-04-13 0.368780 0.435730 0.513257 0.610122 0.728542 0.869400 1.050822
2025-04-20 0.327035 0.402963 0.495245 0.616576 0.773244 0.970549 1.240732
2025-04-27 0.297277 0.378863 0.481982 0.623335 0.814324 1.066661 1.430722
2025-05-04 0.273543 0.358744 0.470089 0.628310 0.850695 1.157182 1.620445
2025-05-11 0.253007 0.340212 0.457564 0.629710 0.880347 1.239165 1.805050
2025-05-18 0.237697 0.327009 0.450468 0.636978 0.917597 1.333970 2.017669
2025-05-25 0.218178 0.306043 0.430319 0.622869 0.920932 1.377221 2.153597
2025-06-01 0.207694 0.297048 0.426369 0.631917 0.959432 1.477108 2.390935
2025-06-08 0.194783 0.283385 0.414246 0.627013 0.974911 1.540886 2.573942
2025-06-15 0.185715 0.274744 0.408878 0.631897 1.006036 1.632480 2.815091
2025-06-22 0.174197 0.261493 0.395330 0.622283 1.011774 1.680891 2.982916
2025-06-29 0.164631 0.250836 0.385378 0.618187 1.027219 1.748916 3.198537
2025-07-06 0.151605 0.233882 0.364225 0.593647 1.004821 1.746983 3.278876
2025-07-13 0.145917 0.228375 0.361291 0.599939 1.037738 1.849445 3.580017
2025-07-20 0.140737 0.223331 0.358707 0.606487 1.071451 1.956430 3.904400
2025-07-27 0.135644 0.218088 0.355376 0.611308 1.102125 2.060281 4.235883
2025-08-03 0.130341 0.212147 0.350413 0.612665 1.126068 2.152801 4.554718
2025-08-10 0.126343 0.208195 0.348631 0.619708 1.161642 2.272580 4.952804
2025-08-17 0.119404 0.198712 0.336430 0.606035 1.154246 2.300863 5.137783
2025-08-24 0.116299 0.195825 0.335909 0.614803 1.193546 2.433700 5.597367
2025-08-31 0.111454 0.189548 0.328796 0.610051 1.203992 2.503657 5.908693
2025-09-07 0.108229 0.186022 0.326546 0.614784 1.235001 2.623176 6.366918