Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.554083 0.613123 0.676831 0.750855 0.834708 0.926986 1.036546
2025-09-07 0.459833 0.541222 0.635758 0.754401 0.900323 1.075226 1.302678
2025-09-14 0.398813 0.488652 0.598184 0.742949 0.931337 1.171085 1.503966
2025-09-21 0.356467 0.450822 0.570369 0.735101 0.959609 1.259931 1.700737
2025-09-28 0.315858 0.409697 0.532320 0.707122 0.954591 1.299700 1.830701
2025-10-05 0.297919 0.395983 0.528026 0.722629 1.008729 1.424757 2.096417
2025-10-12 0.281622 0.382552 0.522153 0.734178 1.056835 1.544532 2.368263
2025-10-19 0.265681 0.367967 0.512888 0.739065 1.094272 1.650702 2.631093
2025-10-26 0.251467 0.354526 0.503809 0.742749 1.129231 1.755461 2.904426
2025-11-02 0.239846 0.343860 0.497718 0.749985 1.169776 1.872702 3.214841
2025-11-09 0.223658 0.325117 0.477818 0.733267 1.168607 1.918152 3.399045
2025-11-16 0.214674 0.316702 0.473141 0.740575 1.208307 2.038588 3.742338
2025-11-23 0.203376 0.304131 0.461288 0.735402 1.226564 2.123888 4.032932
2025-11-30 0.194708 0.295168 0.454598 0.738404 1.259684 2.240723 4.408022
2025-12-07 0.184049 0.282293 0.440538 0.727252 1.265353 2.304796 4.679254
2025-12-14 0.174962 0.271415 0.429040 0.719601 1.276619 2.380779 4.989064
2025-12-21 0.163111 0.255287 0.407637 0.692320 1.247322 2.370406 5.095972
2025-12-28 0.159455 0.252681 0.409237 0.707440 1.302834 2.543680 5.674670
2026-01-04 0.155384 0.249105 0.408857 0.718701 1.351514 2.708099 6.262875
2026-01-11 0.150556 0.243932 0.405281 0.723465 1.387071 2.847598 6.813448
2026-01-18 0.145864 0.238728 0.401299 0.727057 1.420371 2.985930 7.388760
2026-01-25 0.141955 0.234691 0.399172 0.734112 1.461771 3.148523 8.067245
2026-02-01 0.135083 0.224993 0.386006 0.717813 1.449767 3.180090 8.365976