Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-29 0.280354 0.305679 0.332543 0.363214 0.397323 0.434161 0.477046
2026-04-05 0.239480 0.275325 0.315833 0.365225 0.424124 0.492477 0.578344
2026-04-12 0.214790 0.255918 0.304440 0.366361 0.443925 0.538722 0.664655
2026-04-19 0.197289 0.241838 0.296237 0.368275 0.462239 0.582150 0.749193
2026-04-26 0.179040 0.224557 0.281713 0.359731 0.464975 0.604242 0.806262
2026-05-03 0.167719 0.214796 0.275443 0.360577 0.479079 0.641352 0.886022
2026-05-10 0.156723 0.204405 0.267224 0.357620 0.487016 0.669759 0.955183
2026-05-17 0.148627 0.197172 0.262485 0.358697 0.500136 0.705903 1.038493
2026-05-24 0.139812 0.188271 0.254689 0.354582 0.504977 0.729710 1.104494
2026-05-31 0.131706 0.179794 0.246831 0.349606 0.507804 0.750197 1.166555
2026-06-07 0.123073 0.170027 0.236466 0.340060 0.502687 0.757513 1.207057
2026-06-14 0.119561 0.167414 0.236276 0.345735 0.521481 0.804080 1.318339
2026-06-21 0.115848 0.164361 0.235332 0.350301 0.539060 0.850525 1.435349
2026-06-28 0.111713 0.160444 0.232838 0.352216 0.552393 0.890921 1.545992
2026-07-05 0.107715 0.156490 0.230009 0.353304 0.564252 0.929528 1.657318
2026-07-12 0.104199 0.153071 0.227777 0.355136 0.577372 0.971269 1.779236
2026-07-19 0.098714 0.146303 0.219871 0.346955 0.572269 0.979264 1.834245
2026-07-26 0.095554 0.143042 0.217392 0.347765 0.583151 1.017699 1.956121
2026-08-02 0.091857 0.138740 0.212982 0.344933 0.587114 1.043150 2.053237
2026-08-09 0.089175 0.135943 0.210883 0.345964 0.598206 1.083234 2.186923
2026-08-16 0.085705 0.131701 0.206160 0.342023 0.599568 1.103962 2.279414
2026-08-23 0.082295 0.127410 0.201149 0.337256 0.598965 1.120549 2.364183
2026-08-30 0.078296 0.121981 0.193960 0.328110 0.589181 1.117269 2.401263