Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.380430 0.419409 0.461176 0.509344 0.563466 0.622515 0.691977
2025-07-13 0.320743 0.375392 0.438164 0.515965 0.610310 0.721646 0.863912
2025-07-20 0.286292 0.348666 0.423729 0.521458 0.646417 0.802292 1.013732
2025-07-27 0.261466 0.328732 0.412778 0.526686 0.678848 0.877690 1.161481
2025-08-03 0.240997 0.311251 0.401871 0.528991 0.705374 0.945459 1.303962
2025-08-10 0.225245 0.297913 0.394344 0.533862 0.734228 1.017339 1.458194
2025-08-17 0.206452 0.278597 0.376659 0.522334 0.737836 1.052387 1.560592
2025-08-24 0.195924 0.269630 0.372202 0.528608 0.766917 1.126298 1.729072
2025-08-31 0.183928 0.257540 0.362139 0.525387 0.780803 1.177526 1.866089
2025-09-07 0.174813 0.248854 0.356184 0.527491 0.802501 1.242174 2.031495
2025-09-14 0.164170 0.237126 0.344765 0.520021 0.807913 1.280312 2.154811
2025-09-21 0.155210 0.227309 0.335486 0.515015 0.816545 1.323983 2.292020
2025-09-28 0.143051 0.212016 0.317005 0.494159 0.797524 1.319514 2.342187
2025-10-05 0.138031 0.207512 0.315146 0.500426 0.825240 1.399469 2.561912
2025-10-12 0.133227 0.203009 0.312910 0.505733 0.851472 1.478892 2.790197
2025-10-19 0.128748 0.198726 0.310693 0.510777 0.877443 1.560018 3.032057
2025-10-26 0.124063 0.193811 0.307075 0.513002 0.898240 1.633011 3.266087
2025-11-02 0.120174 0.189973 0.304986 0.517702 0.923911 1.717784 3.536826
2025-11-09 0.113776 0.181573 0.294609 0.506578 0.918168 1.738701 3.666543
2025-11-16 0.110735 0.178705 0.293608 0.512632 0.946443 1.832080 3.976684
2025-11-23 0.106400 0.173375 0.287966 0.509524 0.956039 1.886880 4.202137
2025-11-30 0.103151 0.169762 0.285147 0.511555 0.976159 1.966135 4.498984
2025-12-07 0.098714 0.163834 0.277831 0.504345 0.976415 2.001430 4.688939