Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.370119 0.404600 0.441367 0.483575 0.530796 0.582114 0.642266
2026-01-04 0.316760 0.365515 0.421051 0.489366 0.571646 0.668190 0.790983
2026-01-11 0.284203 0.340021 0.406501 0.492268 0.601081 0.736006 0.918297
2026-01-18 0.260181 0.320285 0.394449 0.493881 0.625523 0.796451 1.039556
2026-01-25 0.242501 0.305854 0.386436 0.498136 0.651669 0.859387 1.168921
2026-02-01 0.222607 0.286408 0.369617 0.488212 0.656457 0.892214 1.258037
2026-02-08 0.210084 0.275420 0.362674 0.490390 0.677196 0.948110 1.385698
2026-02-15 0.197320 0.262972 0.352495 0.486659 0.688341 0.990064 1.495691
2026-02-22 0.187884 0.254340 0.346779 0.488497 0.707270 1.044700 1.631236
2026-03-01 0.177237 0.243210 0.336587 0.482632 0.713463 1.079353 1.736811
2026-03-08 0.167238 0.232347 0.325975 0.475130 0.716083 1.107898 1.834365
2026-03-15 0.156325 0.219495 0.311580 0.460618 0.705994 1.114019 1.891804
2026-03-22 0.151961 0.216230 0.311543 0.468948 0.734471 1.188934 2.087182
2026-03-29 0.147235 0.212140 0.309966 0.474638 0.758940 1.259280 2.283763
2026-04-05 0.142225 0.207295 0.306849 0.477434 0.778418 1.322247 2.474069
2026-04-12 0.137333 0.202341 0.303211 0.478987 0.795634 1.382437 2.666850
2026-04-19 0.133338 0.198566 0.301203 0.483087 0.817636 1.453724 2.893743
2026-04-26 0.126876 0.190518 0.291753 0.473526 0.813398 1.472886 3.006744
2026-05-03 0.123129 0.186669 0.289020 0.475624 0.831279 1.538115 3.235729
2026-05-10 0.118565 0.181257 0.283361 0.472030 0.837769 1.580326 3.416056
2026-05-17 0.115262 0.177768 0.280759 0.473800 0.854857 1.646488 3.666043
2026-05-24 0.110871 0.172258 0.274396 0.468149 0.856513 1.679257 3.835702
2026-05-31 0.106477 0.166558 0.267429 0.460919 0.854339 1.703236 3.985934