Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.525721 0.579570 0.637536 0.704732 0.780680 0.864085 0.962916
2025-10-19 0.440438 0.515175 0.601628 0.709710 0.842165 1.000421 1.205647
2025-10-26 0.390704 0.475240 0.577841 0.712901 0.888044 1.110315 1.418322
2025-11-02 0.356667 0.447548 0.562181 0.719555 0.933418 1.219003 1.638026
2025-11-09 0.321767 0.413919 0.533810 0.704137 0.944734 1.280039 1.796638
2025-11-16 0.301166 0.396399 0.523909 0.710971 0.985097 1.383158 2.026464
2025-11-23 0.279853 0.375646 0.507115 0.705447 1.005628 1.457777 2.220759
2025-11-30 0.264465 0.361589 0.498027 0.709398 1.039406 1.554499 2.461570
2025-12-07 0.247099 0.343227 0.481006 0.699442 1.049902 1.614469 2.647528
2025-12-14 0.231944 0.326897 0.465540 0.690125 1.059787 1.673389 2.838289
2025-12-21 0.214603 0.306133 0.441858 0.665719 1.042241 1.683395 2.939880
2025-12-28 0.208224 0.301404 0.442193 0.679580 1.089627 1.810378 3.280419
2026-01-04 0.201150 0.295296 0.440153 0.689705 1.132203 1.934913 3.639317
2026-01-11 0.193393 0.287634 0.435105 0.694320 1.165442 2.046127 3.990098
2026-01-18 0.185996 0.280040 0.429559 0.697433 1.195916 2.155126 4.354250
2026-01-25 0.179848 0.274050 0.426178 0.703913 1.233043 2.281322 4.779289
2026-02-01 0.170213 0.261796 0.411507 0.688898 1.227268 2.318860 5.002167
2026-02-08 0.165147 0.256819 0.408853 0.695554 1.264519 2.450946 5.480435
2026-02-15 0.158398 0.248636 0.400139 0.690174 1.276886 2.530448 5.840059
2026-02-22 0.153625 0.243541 0.396484 0.694022 1.308427 2.656204 6.347164
2026-03-01 0.147049 0.235008 0.386226 0.684326 1.310467 2.714506 6.680033
2026-03-08 0.140994 0.227091 0.376639 0.675252 1.312962 2.774098 7.029009
2026-03-15 0.133171 0.215724 0.360212 0.651477 1.281235 2.747656 7.117839