Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.454284 0.498878 0.546688 0.601883 0.663999 0.731918 0.812036
2025-11-09 0.373847 0.434247 0.503596 0.589624 0.694183 0.818046 0.977219
2025-11-16 0.334822 0.403873 0.486933 0.595244 0.734280 0.908863 1.148028
2025-11-23 0.302498 0.375695 0.466997 0.590858 0.757012 0.975855 1.292140
2025-11-30 0.280291 0.356924 0.455550 0.594047 0.787217 1.052802 1.455914
2025-12-07 0.258051 0.335551 0.437953 0.586042 0.799641 1.104532 1.587864
2025-12-14 0.239507 0.317266 0.422449 0.578636 0.810894 1.154057 1.720589
2025-12-21 0.219627 0.295476 0.400114 0.559009 0.801537 1.170708 1.802213
2025-12-28 0.211068 0.288775 0.398300 0.568756 0.836558 1.258033 2.008659
2026-01-04 0.202677 0.281601 0.395057 0.575704 0.867303 1.340954 2.217761
2026-01-11 0.194196 0.273640 0.389930 0.579031 0.892075 1.415901 2.422016
2026-01-18 0.186284 0.265961 0.384582 0.581347 0.914981 1.489419 2.632999
2026-01-25 0.179432 0.259590 0.380991 0.586484 0.943600 1.576925 2.886064
2026-02-01 0.169241 0.247504 0.367708 0.574596 0.941556 1.608655 3.032257
2026-02-08 0.163679 0.242283 0.364930 0.580043 0.970572 1.701010 3.318623
2026-02-15 0.156565 0.234177 0.356934 0.575793 0.981289 1.758995 3.539194
2026-02-22 0.151458 0.228985 0.353348 0.578883 1.005762 1.846500 3.840303
2026-03-01 0.144675 0.220700 0.344101 0.571125 1.008657 1.890124 4.045357
2026-03-08 0.138481 0.213074 0.335527 0.563947 1.011952 1.934729 4.260045
2026-03-15 0.130631 0.202327 0.321058 0.544922 0.990024 1.922870 4.330293
2026-03-22 0.128128 0.200445 0.321798 0.554370 1.026554 2.043001 4.765500
2026-03-29 0.125312 0.197877 0.321165 0.561105 1.057992 2.155330 5.202117
2026-04-05 0.122098 0.194465 0.318827 0.564331 1.082217 2.253767 5.619813