Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.411967 0.456179 0.503713 0.558712 0.620711 0.688570 0.768643
2025-05-04 0.341778 0.403013 0.473760 0.561946 0.669486 0.797071 0.960946
2025-05-11 0.301193 0.370156 0.453727 0.563263 0.704230 0.881141 1.122486
2025-05-18 0.274209 0.348444 0.441960 0.569698 0.741626 0.967858 1.292811
2025-05-25 0.245955 0.321189 0.419029 0.557327 0.750589 1.015295 1.412680
2025-06-01 0.230202 0.308271 0.412831 0.565424 0.786334 1.100657 1.592991
2025-06-08 0.212929 0.291422 0.399278 0.561152 0.802932 1.158841 1.738048
2025-06-15 0.200757 0.280436 0.392593 0.565452 0.831457 1.236045 1.919417
2025-06-22 0.186495 0.265208 0.378371 0.556917 0.839052 1.280924 2.052766
2025-06-29 0.174750 0.252704 0.367027 0.551449 0.850317 1.331723 2.200387
2025-07-06 0.159901 0.234502 0.345752 0.528611 0.831369 1.330892 2.257836
2025-07-13 0.153662 0.228924 0.343287 0.535280 0.860993 1.413325 2.471817
2025-07-20 0.147531 0.223237 0.340437 0.541387 0.890725 1.499754 2.705826
2025-07-27 0.141415 0.217176 0.336564 0.545451 0.917247 1.583101 2.944767
2025-08-03 0.135261 0.210614 0.331353 0.546661 0.938521 1.658498 3.176924
2025-08-10 0.130578 0.206129 0.329200 0.552882 0.969195 1.754139 3.462370
2025-08-17 0.122940 0.196269 0.317359 0.540929 0.964845 1.781599 3.606671
2025-08-24 0.119360 0.193012 0.316538 0.548753 0.998593 1.887257 3.935177
2025-08-31 0.114035 0.186453 0.309554 0.544625 1.008595 1.945551 4.164473
2025-09-07 0.110420 0.182635 0.307124 0.548780 1.035230 2.040705 4.492131
2025-09-14 0.105145 0.175614 0.298545 0.540533 1.035915 2.080523 4.692198
2025-09-21 0.100663 0.169765 0.291750 0.535249 1.042215 2.133016 4.930673
2025-09-28 0.094083 0.159831 0.276936 0.513176 1.011379 2.099931 4.947008