Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.509530 0.564096 0.622881 0.691054 0.768107 0.852688 0.952822
2025-07-27 0.424786 0.500463 0.588141 0.697817 0.832152 0.992365 1.199447
2025-08-03 0.374789 0.460197 0.564095 0.700961 0.878247 1.102510 1.411468
2025-08-10 0.340593 0.432266 0.548252 0.707632 0.923867 1.211277 1.629411
2025-08-17 0.305483 0.398228 0.519382 0.691754 0.934816 1.271656 1.785111
2025-08-24 0.285493 0.381468 0.510610 0.700423 0.978018 1.378368 2.016842
2025-08-31 0.264529 0.361084 0.494393 0.695996 1.000504 1.455608 2.211699
2025-09-07 0.248792 0.346408 0.484456 0.698901 1.032868 1.549340 2.442050
2025-09-14 0.231386 0.327800 0.467046 0.688532 1.042983 1.608182 2.620850
2025-09-21 0.216963 0.312389 0.452959 0.681607 1.057125 1.673787 2.817823
2025-09-28 0.199385 0.290986 0.428171 0.655556 1.037286 1.680079 2.908908
2025-10-05 0.192378 0.285162 0.426793 0.666735 1.080008 1.796773 3.216722
2025-10-12 0.184865 0.278206 0.423366 0.674623 1.118504 1.911359 3.539446
2025-10-19 0.177741 0.271396 0.419676 0.681723 1.156247 2.028696 3.885145
2025-10-26 0.170431 0.263763 0.414017 0.684766 1.186595 2.134921 4.222874
2025-11-02 0.164371 0.257755 0.410568 0.691257 1.223657 2.257709 4.614116
2025-11-09 0.154867 0.245442 0.395624 0.675806 1.217353 2.293128 4.815561
2025-11-16 0.150198 0.240984 0.393843 0.684242 1.258084 2.428750 5.268602
2025-11-23 0.143775 0.233144 0.385628 0.679935 1.272873 2.511216 5.607523
2025-11-30 0.138934 0.227754 0.381381 0.682761 1.302246 2.628045 6.050103
2025-12-07 0.132479 0.219182 0.370891 0.672672 1.303731 2.683071 6.343116
2025-12-14 0.126943 0.211954 0.362426 0.665933 1.311654 2.753425 6.688353
2025-12-21 0.119165 0.200330 0.345237 0.640578 1.277144 2.721555 6.749126