Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.468889 0.520413 0.575954 0.640389 0.713229 0.793179 0.887799
2025-04-13 0.371358 0.438984 0.517337 0.615293 0.735120 0.877745 1.061569
2025-04-20 0.329113 0.405799 0.499076 0.621818 0.780456 0.980434 1.254565
2025-04-27 0.299017 0.381391 0.485606 0.628609 0.822046 1.077928 1.447596
2025-05-04 0.275022 0.361016 0.473521 0.633579 0.858843 1.169739 1.640408
2025-05-11 0.254296 0.342293 0.460852 0.635000 0.888927 1.253040 1.828320
2025-05-18 0.238848 0.328952 0.453670 0.642355 0.926709 1.349382 2.044843
2025-05-25 0.219181 0.307807 0.433334 0.628125 0.930189 1.393504 2.183603
2025-06-01 0.208615 0.298733 0.429353 0.637310 0.969293 1.495144 2.425685
2025-06-08 0.195609 0.284954 0.417117 0.632377 0.985062 1.560126 2.612563
2025-06-15 0.186467 0.276226 0.411680 0.637309 1.016634 1.653297 2.858632
2025-06-22 0.174904 0.262922 0.398095 0.627756 1.022783 1.703155 3.031135
2025-06-29 0.165291 0.252205 0.388092 0.623704 1.038637 1.772730 3.252049
2025-07-06 0.152188 0.235127 0.366755 0.598917 1.016017 1.770992 3.334634
2025-07-13 0.146458 0.229566 0.363779 0.605273 1.049415 1.875306 3.642446
2025-07-20 0.141233 0.224463 0.361141 0.611855 1.083560 1.984125 3.973893
2025-07-27 0.136095 0.219156 0.357740 0.616673 1.114591 2.089705 4.312570
2025-08-03 0.130759 0.213168 0.352728 0.618051 1.138917 2.184025 4.639045
2025-08-10 0.126736 0.209183 0.350926 0.625181 1.175052 2.306137 5.046801
2025-08-17 0.119763 0.199639 0.338628 0.611386 1.167647 2.335221 5.236970
2025-08-24 0.116643 0.196735 0.338114 0.620290 1.207632 2.470842 5.708485
2025-08-31 0.111774 0.190416 0.330944 0.615508 1.218316 2.542384 6.028282
2025-09-07 0.108528 0.186860 0.328666 0.620290 1.249807 2.664306 6.498390