Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.487433 0.539377 0.595304 0.660126 0.733344 0.813666 0.908693
2025-07-27 0.408168 0.480220 0.563560 0.667629 0.794856 0.946292 1.141616
2025-08-03 0.362634 0.443732 0.541980 0.670832 0.836931 1.045967 1.332334
2025-08-10 0.330592 0.417610 0.527087 0.676608 0.878105 1.143989 1.527701
2025-08-17 0.297326 0.385419 0.499716 0.661130 0.886861 1.196870 1.664649
2025-08-24 0.278143 0.369245 0.490872 0.668094 0.924755 1.290952 1.867839
2025-08-31 0.258227 0.349973 0.475546 0.663624 0.944594 1.359421 2.038952
2025-09-07 0.243234 0.336058 0.466097 0.665969 0.973484 1.442613 2.240711
2025-09-14 0.226514 0.318262 0.449439 0.655722 0.981521 1.493353 2.394452
2025-09-21 0.212415 0.303169 0.435421 0.647920 0.991975 1.547870 2.559435
2025-09-28 0.195536 0.282779 0.411976 0.623388 0.973012 1.551685 2.635305
2025-10-05 0.188921 0.277385 0.410842 0.633897 1.012009 1.655822 2.903090
2025-10-12 0.181820 0.270973 0.407956 0.641772 1.048054 1.759880 3.187450
2025-10-19 0.175240 0.264962 0.405289 0.649776 1.085042 1.869506 3.498056
2025-10-26 0.168205 0.257725 0.400049 0.652783 1.113058 1.964949 3.792497
2025-11-02 0.162253 0.251836 0.396556 0.658391 1.146032 2.072739 4.127326
2025-11-09 0.152924 0.239845 0.382093 0.643395 1.139035 2.101654 4.294990
2025-11-16 0.148207 0.235249 0.379836 0.650142 1.173895 2.217348 4.672815
2025-11-23 0.141930 0.227652 0.371914 0.645811 1.186599 2.288652 4.958126
2025-11-30 0.137182 0.222398 0.367734 0.648084 1.212473 2.390005 5.330114
2025-12-07 0.130833 0.214032 0.357546 0.638156 1.212559 2.435544 5.570679
2025-12-14 0.125265 0.206757 0.348905 0.630598 1.216847 2.490639 5.843854
2025-12-21 0.117676 0.195550 0.332548 0.606828 1.184947 2.460859 5.889511