Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.379654 0.418571 0.460274 0.508370 0.562414 0.621381 0.690750
2025-07-13 0.320062 0.374633 0.437322 0.515031 0.609276 0.720509 0.862663
2025-07-20 0.285712 0.348008 0.422988 0.520626 0.645490 0.801276 1.012639
2025-07-27 0.261008 0.328213 0.412201 0.526052 0.678176 0.877017 1.160884
2025-08-03 0.240566 0.310754 0.401311 0.528373 0.704723 0.944833 1.303487
2025-08-10 0.224796 0.297382 0.393725 0.533153 0.733447 1.016547 1.457539
2025-08-17 0.206011 0.278061 0.376020 0.521582 0.736982 1.051492 1.559822
2025-08-24 0.195433 0.269011 0.371431 0.527646 0.765739 1.124914 1.727575
2025-08-31 0.183450 0.256927 0.361362 0.524399 0.779569 1.176050 1.864476
2025-09-07 0.174335 0.248230 0.355375 0.526438 0.801147 1.240502 2.029594
2025-09-14 0.163698 0.236499 0.343936 0.518915 0.806452 1.278447 2.152590
2025-09-21 0.154705 0.226618 0.334541 0.513700 0.814706 1.321443 2.288557
2025-09-28 0.142558 0.211334 0.316065 0.492837 0.795657 1.316921 2.338664
2025-10-05 0.137549 0.206843 0.314221 0.499129 0.823427 1.397022 2.558854
2025-10-12 0.132770 0.202376 0.312040 0.504530 0.849841 1.476845 2.788191
2025-10-19 0.128334 0.198159 0.309929 0.509761 0.876180 1.558762 3.032047
2025-10-26 0.123656 0.193251 0.306318 0.511998 0.897023 1.631938 3.266850
2025-11-02 0.119754 0.189385 0.304178 0.516606 0.922539 1.716501 3.537545
2025-11-09 0.113359 0.180985 0.293790 0.505451 0.916732 1.737335 3.667353
2025-11-16 0.110289 0.178059 0.292681 0.511297 0.944608 1.829966 3.976169
2025-11-23 0.105959 0.172731 0.287032 0.508167 0.954160 1.884732 4.201925
2025-11-30 0.102707 0.169105 0.284184 0.510133 0.974151 1.963788 4.498759
2025-12-07 0.098273 0.163176 0.276853 0.502880 0.974303 1.998889 4.688570