Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.399748 0.440944 0.485117 0.536095 0.593418 0.656008 0.729695
2025-07-20 0.335844 0.393385 0.459548 0.541646 0.641323 0.759103 0.909814
2025-07-27 0.299275 0.364892 0.443974 0.547101 0.679194 0.844281 1.068686
2025-08-03 0.271748 0.342059 0.430047 0.549501 0.709379 0.918741 1.218252
2025-08-10 0.251401 0.325178 0.420534 0.554592 0.741068 0.995593 1.376855
2025-08-17 0.228589 0.302454 0.400538 0.542561 0.746719 1.035510 1.485809
2025-08-24 0.215666 0.291581 0.395026 0.549133 0.777853 1.112926 1.656614
2025-08-31 0.201462 0.277577 0.383679 0.545779 0.793329 1.167626 1.797394
2025-09-07 0.190710 0.267492 0.376849 0.547984 0.816593 1.235339 1.965331
2025-09-14 0.178454 0.254256 0.364286 0.540182 0.823110 1.276492 2.092763
2025-09-21 0.168207 0.243233 0.354110 0.534999 0.832871 1.323066 2.233789
2025-09-28 0.155000 0.226892 0.334729 0.513657 0.814147 1.319848 2.284780
2025-10-05 0.149331 0.221866 0.332657 0.520335 0.843246 1.401992 2.504320
2025-10-12 0.143811 0.216722 0.330040 0.525869 0.870818 1.484128 2.734597
2025-10-19 0.138701 0.211865 0.327476 0.531132 0.898096 1.567994 2.978646
2025-10-26 0.133410 0.206367 0.323451 0.533451 0.920045 1.643730 3.215615
2025-11-02 0.129021 0.202059 0.321075 0.538369 0.947006 1.731418 3.489323
2025-11-09 0.121944 0.192892 0.309937 0.526746 0.941633 1.754663 3.624537
2025-11-16 0.118531 0.189680 0.308757 0.533096 0.971269 1.851172 3.938334
2025-11-23 0.113738 0.183852 0.302670 0.529856 0.981635 1.908646 4.168844
2025-11-30 0.110137 0.179875 0.299583 0.531986 1.002823 1.990904 4.470573
2025-12-07 0.105270 0.173442 0.291749 0.524449 1.003494 2.028537 4.666488
2025-12-14 0.101091 0.168018 0.285441 0.519440 1.008982 2.077278 4.897858