Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.337755 0.368501 0.401213 0.438682 0.480500 0.525840 0.578850
2025-12-28 0.291593 0.335583 0.385543 0.446808 0.520353 0.606352 0.715331
2026-01-04 0.263868 0.314743 0.375131 0.452764 0.550878 0.672048 0.835038
2026-01-11 0.242682 0.297756 0.365463 0.455881 0.575075 0.729135 0.947151
2026-01-18 0.225468 0.283266 0.356462 0.457446 0.595526 0.781291 1.056384
2026-01-25 0.212145 0.272160 0.350189 0.461034 0.617713 0.836413 1.174309
2026-02-01 0.196240 0.256157 0.335785 0.451715 0.620270 0.863116 1.252448
2026-02-08 0.185858 0.246682 0.329242 0.452354 0.636382 0.909995 1.365282
2026-02-15 0.175382 0.236242 0.320424 0.448679 0.645269 0.946094 1.464212
2026-02-22 0.167612 0.229017 0.315515 0.450088 0.661519 0.994434 1.588026
2026-03-01 0.158699 0.219549 0.306644 0.444670 0.666331 1.024404 1.683207
2026-03-08 0.150089 0.209993 0.296991 0.437215 0.667009 1.047173 1.767580
2026-03-15 0.140224 0.198198 0.283506 0.423139 0.656243 1.050453 1.818310
2026-03-22 0.136539 0.195474 0.283647 0.430816 0.682385 1.120047 2.003644
2026-03-29 0.132674 0.192220 0.282697 0.436514 0.705416 1.186090 2.190805
2026-04-05 0.128493 0.188219 0.280282 0.439495 0.723751 1.245069 2.371541
2026-04-12 0.124300 0.183962 0.277170 0.440991 0.739385 1.300253 2.551850
2026-04-19 0.120801 0.180609 0.275299 0.444423 0.758715 1.364321 2.760963
2026-04-26 0.115103 0.173439 0.266754 0.435510 0.754061 1.379960 2.861569
2026-05-03 0.111603 0.169676 0.263672 0.436122 0.767596 1.433885 3.060385
2026-05-10 0.107566 0.164840 0.258520 0.432607 0.772716 1.470581 3.222705
2026-05-17 0.104644 0.161717 0.256114 0.433954 0.787524 1.529350 3.449935
2026-05-24 0.100773 0.156831 0.250417 0.428772 0.788634 1.558096 3.603439