BTC & ETH Risk Triad

1. The Top Detector (Leading Indicator)

Methodology: Weighted Split (80% Proportional / 20% Linear).

Purpose: This metric is sensitive to price velocity. It identifies "blow-off tops" early by measuring how fast price is stretching away from the 20-week SMA. The Price line color indicates risk intensity (Blue = Safe, Red = Dangerous).

2. The Bottom Detector (Trailing Indicator)

Methodology: Z-Score (Standard Deviations).

Purpose: This metric normalizes volatility. It excels at finding bottoms in "boring" markets. When volatility dies (e.g., deep bear markets), the bands tighten, allowing even small capitulation moves to trigger a "Green Zone" buy signal.

3. The Composite (Hybrid View)

Methodology: Average of Chart 1 and Chart 2.

Purpose: A balanced view. This removes the noise of the Leading indicator and the lag of the Trailing indicator. The Price line is color-coded by this composite risk, giving you a clear "Traffic Light" system for accumulation (Blue/Green) vs. distribution (Red/Orange).